avatar Written by Graeme & Scott on Tuesday, April 19th, 2016

As Graeme predicted, the Capitals got the win over the Philadelphia Flyers. It was a thumping that Flyers fans deserved after some crappy behaviour throughout the game. Hopefully the Capitals wrap that series up in Game 4.

We went 1-1 with our consensus picks for a +0.05 unit profit there. We took the LA Kings to win and they did just that in a series that has seen a road team win all 3 times. Going to be interesting to see if Kings can tie it up.

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We lost with the Stars vs Wild as Minnesota showed some amazing signs of life. The Stars couldn’t handle their offense and major props to the Wild for that – the heads could have went down when the Stars took the lead early on but they bounced back in spectacular fashion.

We have 4 games tonight so let’s get to it:

Lightning vs Red Wings Betting Tips:

Graeme: Game 3 saw Mrazek step in and have a shutout as Wings beat Lightning. Despite that great win something has to be said abotu the Wings pathetic power play conversion ratio at the moment. I’ll be honest I’m not sure about this game at all. If it continues the trend of the last 3 games with all the penalties I think it’s a mistake betting on it as they add such a high variance. But on the other hand I can never resist following a hot goalkeeper, so I’ll go with the Red Wings for the W. The way they shunned the Lightning top line in Game 3 was beyond impressive.

Canada: 1.77 Odds at Sports Interaction Plus $20 Free Bet.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.76 Odds at Bet365.

Scott: The Wings went with Mrazek in game 3 and he made 16 saves for the shutout.  But the Wings held the top line of Johnson, Killorn and Kucherov, who combined for 15 points over the first 2 games, without a shot.  I can’t see the Wings holding them pointless and without a shot for 2 straight games and I like the Lightning to bounce back in this one

Lightning win

Canada: 2.15 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 2.15 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.

Penguins vs Rangers Betting Tips:

Graeme: With the series tied at 1-1 it moves to New York. Rangers had the 3rd best home form in the NHL during the regular season. However the Penguins had the 6th best form on the road thanks to some very solid defensive performances away from the Consol Energy Center. This is such a tricky game and Fleury looks to be a game time decision. My bet is based on Fleury NOT playing. If he doesn’t play, take Over 5.5 goals as despite the regular season stats, we’re getting an excellent price on it considering the last two games.

Scott: With Lundqvist back the Rangers came to life and won game 2 4-2.  I like the Penguins to come out swinging in this one.  The Rangers have lost the last 2 games against the Penguins when they’re at home.  But with the momentum gained from last game that may change tonight.  I like this game to be high scoring like the first 2 were.

Over 5.5

Canada: 2.31 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 2.31 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.

Blues vs Blackhawks Betting Tips:

Graeme: This seems like one of those series which is destined to go 7 games with the teams just trading wins. I do like the Blackhawks to win here but I think it’s going to be tight and the odds are worse than Game 3. I just can’t justify a bet on the Hawks to win and I’m not 100% convinced the Blackhawks can do it without overtime. No Bet.

Scott: A costly 4 minute penalty by Patrick Kane lead to the game winning powerplay goal by the Blues and the Hawks blew their 3rd period lead which is a thing that very rarely happened during the regular season.  With the Hawks down 2-1 they need to take advantage of being at home and win this game to tie the series at 2.  The Odds aren’t great for a Hawks win but I’m nervous about a regulation win. No Bet.

Ducks vs Predators Betting Tips:

Graeme: The Predators take a surprise 2-0 lead to Nashville after shocking the Ducks. This is an absolutely massive game and I think the Ducks are going to leave it all on the ice after this one. I’m taking Over 5 Goals knowing how offensive the Ducks can be on the road.

Canada: 1.91 Odds at Sports Interaction Plus $20 Free Bet.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.86 Odds at Bet365.

Scott: After the 2nd half of the Ducks season and they way the played I didn’t see the Preds being up 2-0.  With the series now in Nashville for 2 games the Ducks could be in trouble.  But I believe they can claw their way back and make a series of this and that should start tonight.

Ducks win

Canada: 1.95 Odds at 888 Sports.
USA: Bet at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.95 Odds at 888 Sports.


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BetNHL.ca » Posts » Tonights Tips » April 19th, 2016 NHL Betting Tips
  • magus1349

    Red Wings and Blues in regulation, Penguins to win.
    Also i like Ducks in regulation, but i’m a Ducks fun so…:)

  • PensFan

    3 units Ducks ML
    1 unit Pens ML
    1 unit combo all ML Ducks, Pens, Hawks

  • lion

    Tonight picks,

    Lightning win
    Rangers win
    Predators win
    Hawks win

    Good luck!

  • Aslan

    Chicago win
    Anaheim win
    Penguins – Rangers over 5
    Tampa in regulation

  • Arto Reinikainen

    2-1 last night (+final minute under 4.5 bet on the Kings-Sharks game). So, great start to the playoffs continue, now total of +30 units in 6 days which is crazy ! 🙂

    Stars came away with the loss, but i did say i was going to back the Wild in that game if they hadn’t lost 7 games in a row, most of the time i don’t like to think regular season matters much in the playoffs but i thought it would there. They showed life in a remarkable way though, my friend who is a diehard Wild fan told me that the game is far from over when the Stars had a 2-0 lead, i didn’t believe him considering Minnesota’s scoring struggles, but what do you know they came through in a big way. Im glad that series is far from over, too many people thought the Stars would sweep them but the Wild is always a gutsy team come playoff time.

    Going to go a bit more in depth with the analyses tonight, as i feel like it’s a good time to do that.

    RED WINGS TO WIN @ 1.81 / -123 Pinnacle Sports

    5 units

    This series was such a mystery to me from the get-go. And most of the question marks were on the Red Wings. One question i asked myself was: despite Stamkos and Stralman out, is Tampa’s roster still as good as Detroit’s ? So many guys have taken a big step back on that Red Wings roster this year. Zetterberg and Kronwall are clearly declining heavily, Green hasn’t been the player they expected him to be, Tatar & Nyquist have taken somewhat of a step back etc. Second question was, how much did the last two crucial games of the regular season that they lost affect their morale ? All season long the Wings have had troubles executing plays, scoring goals, making that big defensive play when they clearly have every chance to win the game (because they still have a good team). All of this didn’t go away even when they were winning and when they lost games they had a tough time regaining their confidence.

    I’ve got my answers now. Yes, the Wings are a bit better team as far as raw roster goes. And yes, that regular season ending affected their play in the first 2 games. Tampa managed to use their momentum & home crowd to win those first two games which is what usually happens when a team is struggling. But despite all of this the Wings still outshot Tampa in both games and battled back from early deficits, on the road no less. Game 3 it took ~30 minutes to get that monkey off of their back, but Tampa had literally ZERO chance to win that game. Part of the blame can be put on surprising complacency on Tampa’s part which they just can’t afford to show at all when Stamkos and Stralman are out. They let Detroit to come back in the series, and now it’s a whole different animal.

    So, i expect Tampa to battle harder tonight, but i also expect the floodgates to open (in some extent at least) for the Red Wings. They got that much needed win and monkey off their back. Mrazek is in a good spot to show why he was a top 3 goalie (IMO) in the first half of the regular season. Red Wings have the roster to outmuscle Tampa on the scoreboard, they have the goaltending, they don’t want to drop down 3-1 in the series so im also expecting them to work really hard tonight in front of their fans. All this combined seems like a winning recipe to me. This game just screams multi point night (or at least a goal) for Datsyuk who has gone 3 games without a point.

    PENGUINS-RANGERS OT @ 4.00 / +300 William Hill

    1 unit

    RANGERS TO WIN @ 2.00 / +100 Pinnacle Sports

    2 units

    I can’t quite explain why i think this game goes to OT. Basically, it’s based on my own system. If i were to explain my system fully, this would be waaaaaay too long of a post (not that it isn’t already lol). But i can say this, it’s showed a total of 2 OT’s so far this post-season, Isles-Panthers game 3 and last night’s Sharks-Kings. So i have confidence in it.

    Anyways, im only betting 1 unit here. Reason is i think the stage is set for Lundqvist to steal a game here and i can’t shake this feeling off. But i can’t argue with the top odds William Hill is offering. Whenever my system says OT and i get those kind of odds i just have to go for it. But as i mentioned there’s always a chance goalies mess things up and the goalie situation is iffy to say the least with these two teams at the moment.

    I would probably recommend not taking my tip on this one, but posted it regardless.

    At this point though, i realized why not go for the Rangers win ? I like their chances to win in OT if the game indeed goes that far, and if it doesn’t i like Lundqvist to be a big part of that. So it’s all Rangers in my mind.

    DUCKS-PREDATORS OT @ 3.90 / +290 William Hill

    2 units

    This series has been a reflection of the Sharks-Kings series. I like it to continue, and OT makes so much sense here. Not much else to it really.

    Finally, i do think the Hawks probably win but like S&G said no point in going for them with the odds available, especially when im backing the Blues to win the series.

    Good luck guys !!!

    • Arto Reinikainen

      Well, it was the first losing night of the playoffs.

      Im still stunned how the Red Wings lost that game. I guess that game is the definition of their season. Can’t use their own momentum to win games.

      Larkin hit the crossbar that i thought was in (and the whole building too) 5 minutes before the end. But it wasn’t, and Tampa scores on the PP. God damn.

      It was the right thing to do to pass on the Hawks-Blues game. And in hindsight, should’ve probably gone for the blues odds considered.

      Rangers couldn’t score. That game basically went 100% as i planned except they just couldn’t get the puck past Murray. Shouldn’t have lost that game.

      Ducks beat down the Preds better than i expected. It’s not going to be fun times for Preds at home from here on out.

      I’d say this was the first surprising night of the playoffs. A lot of things i thought would happen didn’t, as teams were unable to score freakin goals.

  • Totot1976

    Apart from some combos on periods, got a bet on
    OVER 4,5 on these games
    Wings
    Rangers
    Preds

    tomorrow over 4.5
    Islanders
    Stars

    1st period
    Rangers X
    Hawks X

  • NHL

    HAWKS
    DUCKS