avatar Written by Graeme on Wednesday, January 10th, 2018

Hi all,

It was a perfect 3-0 night last night with the NHL Tips which was nice. The Blackhawks game went over with ease and the Capitals had a fairly solid victory over the Canucks.

Tampa winning in regulation was a bit of a tight one but they pulled it off in a night full of goals.

With it being a quieter night tonight I wanted to talk about something we’re going to be testing here for the rest of the season – an experimental unit/confidence betting system.

The short version: Currently we do not offer any confidence levels or betting unit quantities in our tips. This is because we wanted to keep everything as simple as possible as we get a lot of casual followers, and didn’t want to overcomplicate things.

However for the rest of the 17/18 season we will be offering up a separate section in the tips called “Unit/Confidence Betting” where we will provide tips with a unit/confidence level.

A unit is just a portion of your bankroll. Ideally your bankroll should have 100 units in it to handle variance and the swings. So take your current bankroll and divide it by 100 and that’s your unit. If you have a $10,000 bankroll, 10000/100 = 100 so 1 unit is $100.

They will be as follows:

0.5 Unit Plays: These are ones where we aren’t super confident about them, but do think they have value. They will be more risky plays or plays we’re making where there is a factor in a game that we’re unsure how it will affect things – but still want to bet it anyway.

1 Unit Plays: 1-2 unit plays are what currently makes up most of the tips you normally find at BetNHL.ca. These are ones where we are both confident in the outcome and feel the odds are a good price and worth the bet.

2 Unit Plays: These are our maximum confidence plays. Ones where we feel extremely confident about and want to increase our winnings.

So that’s pretty much it.

The longer version: Bankroll management and betting in different units is key to being profitable at winning.

Ideally your bankroll should have 100 units in it to handle variance and the swings. So take your current bankroll and divide it by 100 and that’s your unit. If you have a $10,000 bankroll, 10000/100 = 100 so 1 unit is $100.

The most common thing is to change your units based on your bankroll at that time. So if you lose a few bets and your bankroll is $9800, your new unit bet would be $98.

You don’t have to stick to the 0.5/1/2 unit ratio we have above – we certainly don’t! My personal “maximum confidence” play is 5 units of my bankroll. We’ve just went with the above for simplicity.

Having a strict system like this will help you, win or lose. If you feel very confident about a game and it wins, it helps you increase your bankroll that much faster. However if you feel very confident about a game and it loses, at least you didn’t bet the house or anything like that. As you restricted yourself to 5 units or whatever, you’ve only lost 5% of your bankroll.

We will do the usual write-ups for games. Unit/confidence betting will be a separate section and there may be some bets within it that aren’t part of our usual tips. Depending on the night and our time, we may or may not do write-ups for those. We will track all picks separately as we fine-tune everything.

Any questions at all, feel free to ask. Even if you just want advice on bankroll management etc – I’m happy to help. I’ve been doing betting since I was 16 and doing it seriously since I was in my early 20s so I’ve seen it all.

Stat Tracking: We currently track stats on a 1u basis and will continue until the end of the season regardless of whether it’s 0.5, 1u or 2u.

Here is a breakdown of how the individual units are doing:

0.5u: 8-3 +3.12
1u: 9-7 -+2.79
2u: 0-2 -2

(Last Updated: January 31st, 2018)

Ask questions in the comments below or fire me an e-mail at betnhl.ca@gmail.com

Unit/Confidence Betting System:

Leafs vs Senators – 0.5u on Over 6 Goals incl OT/SO. What stops this from being an actual regular tip is the current form of both teams going into this one. The Leafs have had their last 4 games go under all of which were at home. The Senators last 3 road games have seen them score 1, 1 and 0 in regulation. Actually take out that Tampa game and their road record is atrocious in terms of goals. Shut out multiple times etc.

However this is the Battle of Ontario and it’s one of those games where the form book is often thrown out the window. We saw what the Sens can do when they raise their game like they did against Tampa. Both teams are on the bye week after tonight so you’d think they’d throw everything they can into it.

So 0.5 on over 6 is the play at 1.95 odds.

OHL / WHL / AHL / KHL Betting Tips:

(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. )

AHL Betting Tips (12-11, +0.52): Rochester in reg 1.77. Hershey in reg 2.00.

KHL Betting Tips (19-15, +1.71u): 0.5u play on Admiral to beat Barys tomorrow at 2.25 odds.

OHL, WHL & AHL & KHL Betting:

Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.




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BetNHL.ca » Tonights Tips » January 10th, 2018 NHL Betting Tips