Written by Graeme on Friday, January 8th, 2016
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Some interesting games last night.
The Florida Panthers continued their extremely impressive run. What was really good about that was they were up 2-0 after the 1st but kept it going and protected their lead well. That was a big test as overconfidence can become a factor. A little bit of luck was on their side but that’s what it takes and it was nice to see some big saves from Luongo.
Capitals blew the Islanders out of the water, while Philly got a rather surprising win over the Minnesota Wild in what was a good game.
The Sharks continue to tank at home, losing 2-1 to the Red Wings who are looking pretty solid on the road.
6 games tonight but all teams playing have had at least one nights rest. Should be a good night of hockey. Let’s see what we have today:
Blackhawks vs Sabres Betting Tips:
You have to go back to the last decade for the last time Buffalo beat the Chicago Blackhawks. They’re on a bad run at the moment but being on the road will surely help. They’ll throw caution to the wind tonight and they already average 2.71 goals per game on the road anyway.
The Blackhawks are looking pretty damn solid at the moment especially defensively. At home they can be extremely stingy when it comes to giving up goals. Actually at home they have the best record in the league, conceding just 1.55 goal on average per game.
Despite that – I think the feisty Buffalo Sabres will come to play and get out of this losing streak.
Over 5 goals.
Canada: 1.92 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: -115 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.92 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
Predators vs Avalanche Betting Tips:
It’s a big night for Nashville fans with the debut of Ryan Johansen. A new player in a squad always makes things interesting. I mean look at the Penguins at the beginning of the season – trying to get Kessel involved to the point it seriously hurt their offense. And they haven’t had much time to practise.
These games are usually tight, and these two are just 2 points adrift and currently battling for the wild card spots. Avs have had a solid run – but it’s one of those things where I look at it and I think Johansen gives the Predators the boost they need. They’re a solid team and I like them to deliver tonight.
Predators to win.
Canada: 1.86 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
USA: -120 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.86 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
Oilers vs Lightning Betting Tips:
Starting to see the Oilers pick up form again and get confidence. They seem to be a team that this season are all about the confidence. At home against the Lightning – who have quite a few issues at the moment – and underdogs? Yes please.
Oilers to win.
Canada: 2.31 Odds at Sports Interaction.
USA: +125 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 2.30 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
1st Period Betting System:
(Experimental system – details)
A winning start last night, with the Panthers winning. Record: 1-1, +1.15 units.
No tips tonight.
OHL Betting Tips:
One OHL Betting Tip today which is Saginaw Spirit vs Niagara Ice Dogs Over 6.5. The last game between the teams only saw 3 goals, but the way Saginaw play at home make this a solid possibility. It’s 1.80 odds for over 6.5.
Bet the OHL at:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
Weekly Chat with Sports Interaction:
We haven’t did this in a little while – but each week we try and sit down with the online sportsbook Sports Interaction and discuss hockey with them. Get things from their perspective.
Here’s this weeks:
BetNHL.ca: The talking point of the week is trades. The most notable is the Johansen trade. Thoughts?
Sports Interaction: We think in the short term, people will want to bet on the Nashville Predators. They are a team that will improve fast here because Johansen is a proven goal scorer and that’s exactly what the Predators needed. It’s also not like they gave blood to get him.
Their offensive lines are now a lot deeper and dangerous. Going the other way – Jones could be the #1 defenseman in the NHL eventually – but he needs more ice time and developmental time that he just wasn’t getting in Nashville. The Jackets need defense and that will really help them but they still have more holes to fill.
BetNHL.ca: How about Drouins future? And the Lightning in general at the moment?
Sports Interaction: They were a team that were overvalued during the off season by everyone and we saw that represented with the betting action. They had that great run of course to the Cup but there are still a lot of issues with this team – specifically the status of Stamkos and you have to assume that creates a trickle-down effect. What they do with Drouin may be the defining point of their season. We think with all the uncertainty, people should stay away from the Lightning for the next little while.
BetNHL.ca: The Panthers. Can they keep going?
Sports Interaction: If they stay healthy, why not? It’s all about Jagr, Juberdeau and Barkov – if one of them go out injured that would be a huge, huge loss. Also have to wonder if Jagrs legs will start to fade as the months roll by. But everyone is playing their part at the moment and the defense and Luongo have to be highlighted with just 2.1 goals per game allowed. Their betting value has dropped significantly of course because everyone likes to bet the team on a streak.
Thanks as always to Sports Interaction, Canadas #1 online sportsbook. If you’re a Canadian, I’d highly recommend getting an account there especially for betting on games involving Canadian teams. More details.
So strange that looking at this slate of games…not liking any of them. Graeme, how could you pick against the Blackhawks? Of course it’s just a value play with the odds you would get on the Sabres. The way Crawford is playing right now, I don’t think the Sabres would win even if you have 10 Buffalo players on the ice at once. Buffalo will see its second, 6-game losing streak of the season when all is said and done. Wait…you changed my mind. I do like a couple games.
Blackhawks in REG.
I did initially like Boston in its matchup with Joysee (accent included). Bruins have dominated this series, but Rask is confirmed to be taking the night off so I will not play it.
Bolts ML. Slight lean to Tampa. Wow, I am disagreeing a lot with Graeme. The fact that EDM won its last game and Tampa lost makes this pick on the Bolts a little easier.
Good luck everyone!
Not picking against the Blackhawks – I just think the Sabres will give them a game tonight. Blackhawks odds even in regulation I felt didn’t have value.
lol I am just playing.
Rask’s back-up Gustavsson has been really good with the exception of a couple outliers and the Bs D should have no trouble shutting down Devils with Cammy. Just my $.02 as a Bs fan 😀
Tough to find a sharp bet on tonight’s card. The one thing that screamed at me was LOW SCORES so I jumped early on Big Salami under 32.5. Since I made the bet the line has changed to 31.5, but I still feel pretty confident that it won’t reach 32. There’s a lot of nicked up teams and teams who have struggled to get goals playing tonight. Add to that a really strong goaltending card–not a dog anywhere–and you’ve got a formula for a low scoring night.
I’d be interested in Scott and Graeme’s analysis of goals scored by days of week. My sense is that there are fewer goals scored later in the week, but I don’t have any empirical evidence to support the hunch.
I put a low unit round robin 2-way parlay on Bs, Preds and Blues. Bs are without Marchand and Krejci but they are definitely a better team than Devils without Cammaleri. Preds are well rested and needing a win against an Avs team that should be gassed after 4 games in 7 days. St Louis has been sliding and has lost some close games of late, but the Ducks just aren’t a very good team and the Blues need a win badly. I think they come out firing and don’t look back. I’ll be at the game so it will be fun to see if I’m right in person. By the way, the Ducks goalie started at the NHL’s newest AHL affiliate, the San Diego Gulls, which is where I live. I’ve seen him play and he won’t be returning to the “A”.
good luck boys
Like the Grand Salami pick. Hopefully every game except the Hawks one is low scoring for you 🙂
Days of the week would be an interesting thing to study to see if there’s anything there – although obviously a ton of variables. Could be a fun little project though and easy enough to run the math on it. Will make a note and try and do that within the next few weeks.
I’m with you, guys. Really, really tough to find good bets/odds tonight. Finally, I chose CHI in REG and ML NSH as a combo though I’m a bit uncertain about this BUF team. Always good for a surprise victory. We’ll see. Good luck!
Duchene and Perry to score anytime @ 8.06.
TB/Edm
Should be interesting but Oilers have the ability to upset the Bolts tonight when you consider…
Who has better starts? Edm 32 goals P1 vs TB 21P1
FOW%? pretty even at 49%
if game goes to OT? Edm 6otw vs TB 3otw
*TB has won 2/5 when favoured in 5 gms & two of their losses came against NYR & Mtl during their slumps;
*No question who has the goaltending edge: Bishop 2.06 GA vs. Nilsson 2.91GA (if he’s starting)
*Callahan in but a -5
St.L/Ana
This game has under or push all over it when you consider:
St.L scored under 3 in 3/5gms
Ana scored under 3 in 4/5gms
Ana 1.87GF & St.L 2.47GF
Head to Head: last 5 gms have been under or push
Good luck tonight!
Edmonton Oilers – Tampa Bay Moneyline 1 2.35 2/5 @bet365
Anaheim – St.Louis Alle 5 3/5 1.83 @bet365
Carolina – Columbus yli 5,5 2/5 2.10 @bet365 there is my bets today with stakes.
Hi guys,
Tonight picks,
Bruins win
Predators win
Blues win
Lightning win
Good luck!
Preds
Bolts
BJ’s
OT:s worth a shot = BUF-CHI, BOS-NJD & STL-ANA
Last night i thought there wouldn’t be many road wins but tonight it’s all about road teams, so i guess all home teams win 😀
Well anyway, good luck !