Written by Graeme & Scott on Monday, May 11th, 2026
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Well hopefully you followed us last night for a perfect playoff betting night.
We had 4 different bets, none of which conflicted with the other, and all four came in! That would be about a 13/1 accumulator.
We had the Habs to win with Demidov getting a point. He got a key assist as the Habs ran out 6-2 winners.
And with us backing the Ducks to win and over 6.5 goals, we got the perfect result as the Ducks ran out 4-3 winners.
Great little night for betting.
One game tonight and it’s an interesting one as the Wild host the Avs in Game 4.
Wild vs Avalanche Game 4 Betting Tips:
Scott: The Wild got themselves back on track with a convincing win. They now have a chance to tie the series up. Kaprizov and Hughes looked great.
With them taking their first loss of the playoffs I do expect a better effort from the Avalanche. But now that the Wild have gotten a win do they follow that up and tie the series. Kadri is on a 4 game point streak so Ill go with Kadri to register at least 1 point
Graeme: This is such a difficult one to call. I mean by the odds and how the last game went, you’d want to take the Wild at about 2.20.
But then you think about how lop-sided Game 2 was and I guess Game 1. And it’s a weird one too because the Avs series was pretty tight against the Kings too and now this is completely open.
I will say overall metrics for the series, over 6.5 looks good but I really don’t know if we see a different game from either team now after the way the last game went.
I like the idea of a player prop again and I enjoyed yesterday how I approach it from home performance advanced metrics. Just felt good when that came in ya know? So going to do that again – Landeskog at least 1 point based on Avs road advanced metrics in the playoffs. Which isn’t a lot of games but by the regular season advanced, he’s jsut behind MacKinnon there in a lot of key categories.
Hope you guys also took Kadri for a goal on your personal bets! Nice run wish I tailed. Forgot to check the damn tips today 😂
Love the tips like Matti. Has followed a long time from Denmark. Keep it up!:)
Thanks Jonas. And love Denmark! One of my favourite football players ever in Brian Laudrup. 🙂
I think Wild takes a win tonight. Good luck buddies!
Ps. I think if you wrote these comments on X there would be tens of comments, now this page is a bit out of trend.
If I can be frank – the betting ‘communities’ on social media are primarily full of morons. “Handicappers” who post nonsense, fake stats etc to try and get people to pay, and then people who don’t understand sports betting and think they should be able to sweep every night.
We used to be on Twitter and a few other platforms but I grew tired of those sort of people. Would be nice if more people commented here but we have over 50,000 people who subscribe to us and read daily. So still a large viewership even if people don’t comment (and we find it’s rare during playoffs anyway)
Yep, greetings from Finland by the way. I used to follow you every day NHL season going on… I think previously a lot more comments, just trying to give you more visibility which you earn for sure.
I saw you in Twitter but that was years ago, I believe what you say… good luck and thanks for this season.
TrueSocial next? (just kidding 🙂
I agree with Graeme that a lot of handicapper websites and forums are loaded with quite stupid forecasts, superficial data viewing and no sense of accountability to results, yet they mostly want you to pay for their sharp advice, ha ha.
I’ve been betting for over a decade and constantly try to learn, and there are several major categories that must be reviewed before picking a good bet. Then there is money management too. I’ve got betting tip notes that go back over a decade. But even with all that to help, and with usually a deep dive into the game matchup situational data, from many perspectives, we’re still dealing with sports here, two sides trying to obstruct the other, with the very important issue of injuries, exhaustion, the mystery of motivation levels to figure out, and because it’s all sports, things happen that can’t be predicted, and even within a range, a “spread” of options, betting involves some losing.
I laugh in disgust when betting company commercials so “bet wisely”, but they will NEVER tell you how to do good betting research or how to manage your betting money well. Stats show that roughly 90% or more of all better consistently lose money overall. A monkey with a login could make SOME bets that win, but many experts who have the time and capacity to research well, still lose, or consider something like a 55% winning average to be sufficient. That usually means losing money too, overall.
I have to think the % of sports betters who can live off their sports betting has to be less than 0.5%. But that doesn’t mean some overall PROFIT can’t be made, but it takes something most sports better never have: patience, to research well, manage their betting money well, and then restrict their betting, to choose when NOT TO BET AT ALL, and know when chaos is more likely to happen. I’ve been watching all sports, including horse racing, and have a chart showing what months are either good or extra risky for each sport, and right now, we’re in a transition zone where hockey is NOT good betting in general, and extra care has to be taken. By the way, on hockey, I’d say April, May and October are the highest risk in general, with other factors coming in to add risk, such as holidays, breaks for Olympics or tournaments, the All-Star break, the trade deadline and the last few weeks of the regular season. And knowing that you still have to watch for injuries to important players and many other factors always in effect.
Betters who watch the commercials that show some total idiot frantically making bets on his cell phone (you can see that on NHL TV coverage), promote compulsive and idiotic behavior guaranteed to generate more consistent losing. You’ll never see a commercial by and for smart betters who consistently profit, because they’re not organized and too few in # to afford the cost of advertising. But they WOULD be extremely popular!
We’re getting into the phase where sports betting is no longer a new thing in popularity, and enough people will have lost money that they clue into how difficult it is to profit consistently, and don’t know how to do that research. Some will have the patience to learn, some will bet frantically to try to make up for losses, and lose even more. Watch for takeovers and mergers between the major betting companies, advertising will develop as even more brainwashing and manipulative in the wrong direction for betters, and in parallel betters step back from acts of financial suicide, in disgust, and some try to improve while others just quit betting. I don’t know how it will shake out, but while learning, don’t lose more than “play money” and keep notes! Why did you win? Why did you lose? Did you manage your betting money well?
Don’t pay for betting advice unless the cost is low/reasonable and the betting advice is highly detailed and multi-perspective, from betters with a good track record. Any sports bet comments found online that don’t include good explanations, are worth nothing and must be ignored, no matter who posted them. Explanations are basic requirement. Good explanations can be considered, not duplicated, but considered. Always think for yourself!!!
I’m going to bed so will be quick here. But thanks for sharing all that it was great and spot on. You are right; so many of those handicappers attempt to promise wins etc. I think we are very open here in regard to variance and winning and losing etc.
And the problem is a lot of people just don’t get it. I’ve said it before but we’ve went on 9-0 runs and 13-0 runs and crickets; then we go 0-1 and have people e-mailing actually mad that they lost.
Unfortunately, I don’t know if we ever will get into the area where people will clue in. People are just always convinced it’s beatable. and I mean based on our own record over the years it is – but it doesn’t mean it isn’t extremely difficult, requires a lot of work, patience, being humble and open to realizing when you got it wrong etc.
The sad thing is most gamblers don’t do that. I’m friends with a lot of people who bet as you can imagine, and so few of them ask me for NHL advice etc even though they know about this site and know my record etc. And when they win bets they rush to share it with me but when they lose – well they don’t share that, or it is all down to the refs.
Anyway yeah – I have no interest in going with social media. I’ve said it before but I don’t do this to make money; I do this because it makes me better when it comes to betting. There is a big difference between placing my own bets, and writing bets which I know thousands of people will be following. That gives me accountability, and forces me to research more etc.