Written by Graeme on Tuesday, May 12th, 2026
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The Avs take a commanding 3-1 lead back to Colorado.
They thumped the Minnesota Wild 5-2 which was a confidence boosting win, and you have to think it will be a surprise if they blow it in Game 5.
That takes place tomorrow night.
In the meantime we have two games tonight. The Habs, up 2-1 in the series, host the Sabres. And the Knights host the Ducks in their 2-2 series.
Let’s get to it:
Canadiens vs Sabres Game 4 Betting Tips:
Scott: The Canadiens dominated the Sabres in game 3. This was also the first time in these playoffs that the Habs have won 2 in a row. This was the first road loss for the Sabres in this postseason.
With game 4 still in Montreal and with the momentum of a rare win streak the Habs are going to be a tough team to beat here. The Sabres should win here to tie the series but it’s not something I’m going to tip. I expect a big effort from them here so I’ll go with Josh Doan to get at least 1 point for 2.20 odds. He’s on a 4 game point streak and has 7 points in 9 games during this postseason.
Graeme: At the 1.83 odds, happy to take Demidov to get a point again. I did the analytic analsis last time, he proved it right, his odds are good – why not.
Knights vs Ducks Game 5 Betting Tips:
Scott: The Ducks responded to getting blownout in game 3 with a much better looking game for them in game 4. Dostal looked alright too after getting pulled in game 3.
For the Knights Stone missed the game but Marner continues to shine picking up 3 assists after his hat trick in game 3. I can see the Knights having a big bounce back game here. For that to happen they’ll need goals. So I’ll take Brett Howden to register at least 1 point. He has points in last 2 games and in 4 of last 5.
Graeme: I won with the Ducks last time out – but I just have a strong feeling Vegas takes this one comfortably and am going with Knights in Regulation.
Not basing this off anything specific. Just one of those things. I don’t believe Stone will be playing and that is obviously a factor – but I still think the Knights take it here.
And then Demidov gets his point on the next goal for Graham! I wanted to parlay them together, seemed to easy😂. Nice work lads
That was lovely 🙂 Gives me hope for possibly doing something with player props during the regular season next year. I’m logging it as I go with some advanced metric data and formula so we will see.
Great shout on Doan for a point . 9 min into the game and it hits. I’ve been betting a lot of point props from guys with the hot hand. Seems like a pretty common sense strategy!