It’s been a very interesting season of hockey with a couple of crazy blowouts. We had the Jackets 10-0 win over the Habs, the Jets 8-2 win over the Stars and surprisingly the Capitals 7-1 thrashing last night over the Penguins. That was a crazy one considering the lacklustre performances the Caps put up prior to that game.
We’ve had a bit of a rough start to the NHL Tips this year but we’re not too concerned. Hockey is an incredibly high variance sport and losses are expected. Luck is a large factor too. The main thing is putting your ego aside each day and looking back at the previous bets you made to see if you missed something or were completely wrong etc then learning from it.
For us a big thing this season has been “right team, wrong time” as we’ve lost a good few high value picks on teams who end up following it up with a win. Back in October we tipped the Blue Jackets to beat the Kings & Sharks at big odds. They lost both of those and it put us off the Jackets. Then they come out the very next night and thump the Ducks 4-0.
Canucks are another one. We watched the Leafs game a couple of weeks ago and really felt the Canucks were coming out of their shell, and were due a win. We tipped them against the Islanders and although it was a winnable game they lost that one. What happens? Very next night they come out and hammer the Rangers.
It’s a long season and we’re looking forward to hopefully turning a nice profit.
Onto tonight and it’s a very tricky night. We’ve got two betting picks for you:
Leafs vs Panthers Betting Tips:
Reimer is playing tonight for the Panthers. Often in cases like that we like to stay away from the game – returning to Toronto, there’ll be a buzz around the Florida camp and the players will want to do that bit better and fight for the puck that much more. However we’re going to go with Over 5.5. We know the Leafs can score and concede like crazy. Panthers are fairly leaky on the road however and Reimer himself hasn’t had the best of seasons. We’re going to back this one to go over.
Lightning vs Sabres Betting Tips:
Sad news in Tampa as Stamkos is out indefinitely after getting injured against the Red Wings. Injuries are always an interesting factor when it happens to a big name player like that. Despite the loss of him we like the Lightning to overcome it – for now, and we’re backing Tampa to win in regulation.
Tampa have a strong offense despite Stamkos. And while we’re already looking ahead at a possibly Flyers tip against them on Saturday, we think they have enough to handle Buffalo. The Sabres struggle to score and even at home they’ve been extremely poor while the Lightning have been solid on the road.
Mathematical/Experimental Betting Systems:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. Previous Records: 1st Period System 30-36 (+15.99u), OHL 28-15 (+17.15u)
OHL Betting Tips(3-4, -0.85u): Sudbury Wolves to win at 1.84 odds, Peterborough Petes to win at 1.84 odds.
OHL bet at: