Written by Scott on Monday, December 12th, 2016
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Well we went 1-2 last night but wow, it was so close to 2-1.
The Oilers scored at the very end of the game and the goal was called off leaving the game at 3-2 for the Oilers. The announcers thought it was a good goal and so did I when watching but they reviewed it and called it back. What can you do.
Our win came when we had the Flyers to win against the Red Wings. This was a close game but it was the Flyers winning 1-0 in OT.
I knew it was a long shot but I went with the Canucks to win against the Capitals. The Caps won 3-0.
Only 2 games today and there is nothing I like enough to make it a tip. But can still go over each game to see if it helps you make a decision.
Game Thoughts
Coyotes vs Penguins
You have to like the Penguins chances in this game. They’re on a 5 game win streak and are 11-2-1 at home on the season.
The Coyotes did win their last game but are 3-4-3 over their last 10 games. They now have no Max Domi who is on the IR with a hand injury.
To get any value for this game I would have to take the Penguins -1.5 and even that has Odds under 2.00.
Bruins vs Canadiens
I would like to take the Habs but anytime these teams play each other it’s anyone’s game.
Lots of history between these teams so it’s usually a good game.
The Bruins are rearranging the forward lines in hopes of gaining some offence. The Habs are coming off of that crazy 10-1 win against the Avalanche on Saturday.
I personally can’t call a winner for this one.
Mathematical/Experimental Betting Systems:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. Previous Records: 1st Period System 30-36 (+15.99u), OHL 28-15 (+17.15u)
1st Period System (10-25, -4.75u):: Montreal Canadiens 2.70.
1st Period Betting:
Canadians: Sports Interaction, Bet365 & 888 Sports.
Americans: BetOnline. or Bovada.
Everyone Else: Bet365 or 888 Sports.
Lions project 2/15 Penguins REG @ 1.50
3-1 again yesterday. Had the Rangers in Reg, Flyers ML, and Caps PL in the 1st period. Really liked that over in the Avs/Leafs game, I knew the Avs would come out strong but I didn’t expect a 50 save effort by Varlamov! Habs/Bruins always a tough one to call, but my 1st period system likes the Pens tonight, they are clearly the better team.
Do you have 1st period pit @2.10 or more?
I’ve seen it at 2.00 but I haven’t shopped around yet.
Might give this a chance for 0.5 unit.What do you think on Pit tonight with 2 units,thinking about doing that?
You’ll have to bet at least that to get good a good return, but the value on Pit isn’t great tonight. Even the PL is below 2.00, the oddsmakers know how lopsided these two teams are right now.
Looked into that to but didn’t like that one.ML is out of the question for sure..So the only option is 2 units or no bet.I am leaning in other game to go under 5 ,but havent decided yet.
Yesterday was another good night for me as i went 4-1 ,didnt bet on oilers game.So today i am going with something like this.
Pens reg
Pens over 3.5g
Habs ML
Habs over 2.5g
What about Over5,5 in Pengs game, @1,86? Seems a good chance.
I think there is a fair chance for a shutout. Can (or rather want) the Pens score 5 or 6 if the Coyotes don’t show up? I am thinking 3-0 3-1 4-1 type of game for the Pens tonight.
Habs in regulation with a combination of a win from the Patriots over Baltimore. Good Luck!
I strongly feel that tonight there will be a huge surprise for everyone and pens vs coyotes game will go to OT or Cyotes win the game in the end. I ll go 02 double chance.
Bruins are good against the team like Canadiens. Dont believe that game will be easy either. Personally I wont really bet on that game but Bruins has also chance to win. So be careful when you are going to set up your final decision.
I am also considering taking the OT in both. Only one gone to OT in the last 19 games, and that was the 0:0 last night. The Habs-Bruins as you said, can go either way, but it is hard to see how the Pens could give a point to the Coyotes.
Is it just a gut thing? Or do you have some evidence to go along with that feeling? Just curious.
Coyotes needs to win. We saw it when they do play if they need to win. Remember the game against sharks?
I think they will win tonight. Either in reg or ML.
The Yotes did beat the Sharks, twice, but both of those games were in Arizona (Coyotes are worse on the road statistically) and the second one was the last game of a 5 game road trip for the Sharks. I understand you have a feeling, and the Coyotes “Need to win”, but in my opinion that’s not enough to go against this Pens team that is averaging 4.86 g/game their last 7 games, is at home, with a goalie that is 4-0 at home and 2.01 GAA on the season. To each his own! I don’t trust the Coyotes tonight though!
Hey lions if you are so sure about it bet agains’t habs and pens 100$ and win 1600$ 🙂
Sure? ☺ who can be sure about the games mate? People do his analyse and go on for it. I would like to have that wisdom ☺ I was wrong on Pens maybe but still right on Bruins ? Boston Bruins is not like Avs ? they are Bruins!
Last match between the yotes and pens ended with a 6-0 victory for the pens, considering pens form is insanely good at the moment and yotes is below average, I can’t see any way the yotes win today. Smith can always come up big, he’s an amazing goalie, but the chances of that are slim against such an aggressive, high scoring team.
Just answer to that question. Who needs to win? Who wants to win much! Look from that angle ?
The Bruins game also seems like the Habs should win the game with relative ease, sure the Bruins have potential to play amazing Hockey, but we haven’t really seen that so far, as someone mentioned they are making some line changes to gain some more offensive power, but I feel these kinds of changes take time to work to the effect they are wanted to, Habs have already shown that they are getting back on track to playing amazing Hockey, I mean sure the Avs are nothing special, but 10-1? The Bruins recently lost to the Avs and Toronto, who both beat the Bruins, I feel all the stats point to a habs win.
You shouldnt compare the games like that. Check how bruins did against big teams like habs ans then make up your decision again. Bruins are really tough. ?
Pens will eat Yotes Tonight:P
☺ lions do not attack if they were well feeded ?
Maybe Coyotes will eat flower if he’s in Net for pens tho. Haha. With Murray in net I’m 100% confident
And we have some great goalies tonight.
Both the Coyotes and Bruins would be very tempting to me IF the Pens and Habs offenses weren’t on fire, but they are, so in my opinion i just have to ride them until they cool off.
Pens -1.5
Habs reg
I hate the NHL schedule. One night we have 8-10 games and then just two the next. Anyhoo…
Pitt -1.5 and in Regulation.
MTL ML – I am going to figure Rask continues to have his troubles against Montreal. It will not be a slam dunk but I also can see this being a 4-2, 4-3 victory for the Habs.
it doesnt happen in the NHL.. NBA and NFL have those issues also lol
I have got Montreal 1st period draw no bet because I have noticed they usually win their 1st periods at home.
Where is Alanson?
yeah man i was also lookin for alanson
I have no tips mate. Maybe tomorrow. Waiting for my program.
Alanson how sure are you about this,cause i was thinking Habs-Bs on under5 ?
I put one unit on this combo. But if you look what others tell here, you can’t be sure. 😛 I’m not sure. I hate unders, but if you look at the last games of the home teams, they are like overscoring. So I prefer the under. Because we have the best goalies of the teams tonight. And I don’t see trends continue the whole time in the NHL.
I was thinking the same thing ok Habs put 10 goals last game but today they are gonna have some trouble scoring.Bruins can play a tight game with them.And it seem all of this goalies have been good lately who can have a big night.Did you put under 5.5 in pens game?
Im just not to sure on this if i was u id stay away from the under in 118 meeting the average is 5.2
Some fun facts to look at 🙂
Ari
Coyotes are 0-6 in their last 6 Monday games.
Under is 5-0-1 in Coyotes last 6 road games.
Under is 3-0-1 in Coyotes last 4 games following a win.
H2h
Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
Coyotes are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Pittsburgh.
Home team is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.
Bos-Mtl
Under is 7-1-2 in Bruins last 10 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.
Under is 5-1-2 in Bruins last 8 road games.
H2H
Over is 2-0-2 in the last 4 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Over is 3-1-2 in the last 6 meetings in Montreal.
thanks it think this just helped me stay away altogether on that bet. It was just too tempting
2016-12-12
Hi guys! “Taken a different look into my system and i am now adding a 1k challenge in the spreadsheet, which will go under the name of “Bookmaker = Betsson” Even tho im betting on Bet365, but its just to make a difference between the challenges, Bookmaker = bet365 is for the 15 bets in a row challenges… And betsson for the 1k challenge 🙂 Just wanted another way to add all my bets simply and easly so thats how im doing it to provide more bets for everyone! =)” (2016-12-11)
Lion project 2/15 (NHL)
Pick: Montreal Canadiens (2.10)
Progress: 10kr>18kr>37.80kr?
Lion project 1/15 (NBA)
PICK: Golden State Warriors -11.0 (1.90)
Progress 10kr>19kr
SPREADSHEET (15 bet challenges ) = http://www.betdog.eu/myaccount.php#publicprofile
If fleury starts in net I believie going with Arizona +0.5 in the first period is a good bet
for the game yes a -1.5 pittsburgh is a good chance as they have been winning with some authority at home
canadiens game is going to be tight but I believe in an Under 5 and a canadiens win ML… like a 3-1 game
for the AHL not official but I would take milwaukee in Reg
2016-12-12
Hi guys! “Taken a different look into my system and i am now adding a 1k challenge in the spreadsheet, which will go under the name of “Bookmaker = Betsson” Even tho im betting on Bet365, but its just to make a difference between the challenges, Bookmaker = bet365 is for the 15 bets in a row challenges… And betsson for the 1k challenge 🙂 Just wanted another way to add all my bets simply and easly so thats how im doing it to provide more bets for everyone! =)” (2016-12-11)
Lion project 2/15 (NHL)
Pick: Montreal Canadiens (2.10)
Progress: 10kr>18kr>37.80kr?
Lion project 1/15 (NBA)
PICK: Houston Rockets -13.5 (1.90)
Progress 10kr>19kr
SPREADSHEET (15 bet challenges ) = http://www.betdog.eu/profile/Lawellys_Predictions
2.10 is MTL @REG right?
Off to a good start! Penguins -0.5 1P cashes in!
I think i just hit two picks 🙂 now they need to stop to go under 😛
Same here man! Have Pens -0.5 1P and Pens -1.5. Looking good!
Got pens -1.5, Canadiens in reg looking bad though.
Habs +12 in 3rd period goal differential, Bruins -4. Still time to come back.
Would bet on ML but game is way too close, could go either way, I have a feeling Bruins will win the OT
Pens will score some more goal 😛
Players gettin nasty in montreal
Backing the Penguins at home was like buying money!
Good call in the Habs match being diff to call despite their recent big win – put me off the double which saved me money!