Written by Scott on Sunday, December 4th, 2016
We had 4 Tips last night.
First we had the Predators in regulation against the Devils. The Preds were up 4-1 at the start of the 3rd so we thought this tip would come through for us but the Devils scored 3 unanswered to tie the game and force OT and won 5-4.
Our next tip was the Penguins to win in regulation against the Red Wings which they did 5-3. We were worried about this one. At the the start of the 3rd the Wings were winning 3-1 but the Penguins came alive scoring 4 straight goals.
We had over 5.5 in the Leafs vs Canucks game but this one stayed under when the Canucks won 3-2 in a shootout. This game didn’t have the fireworks that were expected.
The final tip of the night was Over 5.5 in the Stars vs Avalanche game. The Stars scored a goal in each period and won 3-0. Avalance defensemen Erik Johnson broke his leg blocking a shot in the 2nd period forcing the Aves to play with only 5 D. He will be out for 6-8 weeks.
7 games today so let’s get to the tips.
Flyers vs Predators Betting Tips:
As mentioned yesterday, the Preds are awesome at home. They had a nice lead in yesterday’s game only to have the Devils catch fire and win in OT.
I still like the Preds chances in this one. Their home record is so good and I can’t let yesterday’s game scare me off of them .
The Flyers are playing great right now but with the Preds looking to bounce back after blowing their lead and their home record is have to back them in this game.
Predators in regulation
Canada: 2.00 Odds at Bet365
USA: -105 Odds at Bovada
Everyone Else: 2.00 Odds at Bet365
Ducks vs Flames Betting Tips:
The Ducks are a team that, on paper, should be at the top of the West standings but can’t seem to get any consistency.
But today they get to take on the Flames who have struggled this year and are 5-7 at home. Their goaltending has been rough and they have to deal with the injury to Gaudreau.
Over the last 10 games between these teams the Ducks are 9-1. I like the Ducks to continue this success against Calgary.
Ducks Win incl OT/SO
Canada: 2.05 Odds at Bet365
USA: EVEN Odds at Bovada
Everyone Else: 2.05 Odds at Bet365
Mathematical/Experimental Betting Systems:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. Previous Records: 1st Period System 30-36 (+15.99u), OHL 28-15 (+17.15u)
1st Period System (8-18, -1.8u): Carolina Hurricanes 3.10, Minnesota Wild 2.95.
OHL Betting Tips(8-9, -1.35u): Ottawa 67s in regulation at 1.75.
AHL Betting Tips(9-5, +3.09u): Albany Devils in regulation 1.80.
1st Period Betting:
Canadians: Sports Interaction, Bet365 & 888 Sports.
Americans: BetOnline or Bovada.
Everyone Else: Bet365 or 888 Sports.
OHL, WHL & AHL Betting:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
Bovada
GT Bets
Too many OT last night and -5units for me.
Tonight Habs, Flyers, Wild and Ducks.
I put on unit on first 3, 3units on Ducks and one unit on combo @ 53.6 final odd.
Bad night last night, 0-3, when all of the picks didn’t go over.
Tonight I’m playing Preds in reg, Canes-Bolts O5 and Ducks ML. GL
Singles :Chi reg ,Tampa ML,Ducks ML
Combo :
Kings-habs U5
Tampa ML
Preds reg
Ducks ML
ODD: 12.05
Maybe you should just lay your thoughts! Could be a massiv profit!
Probably i should do the opposite of my thinking 🙂
https://betting.betfair.com/what-is-lay-betting.html yes
1-2 last night, -1.2u. That Preds game hurts, and there were so many scoring chances in the Flyers/Hawks game but no one capitalized late in the game, thankfully the Pens came through in the end so it wasn’t a shut out. Tonight’s games are tough, my model doesn’t really love anything, but here’s my picks today.
Habs ML
Habs/Kings Under 1.5 1P
Habs/Kings Under 5
Preds in Regulation
Hawks ML
with bernier in the net I do disagree that ducks bet… very risky and for that reason they arent favourites… but statistically it does make it sense, but they are also back to back…
This bet gives me real headaches. I would like to stay away, but I watched Detroit yesterday and I like what they did. It must have been horrible for Coreau to feel a win in his debut, but Penguins just did as so often and turned the whole game in one period. Haha 🙂
I feel hyped on this and under other conditions I wouldn’t take this bet. At least it is covered by my program (so I have a 50% win factor), but not by the goalies, injuries and the ODD is also to low for this risky factors. But I also think Detroit’s coach made a plan here to have a rested and more experienced goalie in net for a team where you can have an easier win than against Pittsburgh. Sure! Mzarek needed a rest and Howard is still out. Mzarek’s stats should go up, but here we have also Halak, whose stats should rise a lot more than Mzarek’s. My last hope would be Berube, but there should be Halak in the net. I believe everything can happen in this game, but let’s see who does better. Detroit is not bad, but to be realistic Islanders just did better this week (and the numbers are on their side today). So this is a coinflip situation for me where the Islanders could have manipulated the coin. 😉 But there is also a real chance for Detroit to take them out of their winning streak and I think this is Detroit’s focus compared to the game against the Penguins.
If you want to lay me, today is the best chance! 😛
GLTA
Detroit ML ODD 2.3 with 1 unit
I will do one on detroit aswell 🙂
not sure if they are going to win.. not going to bet but for me its for the islanders., they have been on a good roll, the prob for the pens was the goalie. fluery wasnt that great at all.. and the third goal was very cheap.
Early pick
Canadiens win %200 😉
I was curious and made a small analysis. It’s a good situation for Montreal. I just feel like I can’t trust Price these days. But he is the better goalie in this game and it is hard to believe to see him lose the 3rd in a row. Maybe he is like making party in California and not in his best form? :))) His stats show that he needs to lose some more games to get in his line. But I can’t confirm that for today. But you know what, mate? I will put the unit on these canadiens. But I will also be happy if Price loses.
its not prices fault for sure.. they havent been scoring and dont have good stats on the road
Yes, but he can’t stop a healthy offense. And he can’t win every game and he can’t be as good as now the whole time in his career. I knew it when he played against the Sharks, but today it is a better situation for him and his team. The success of the Montreal offense also depends on the other goalie. And here we have Budaj who is not as good as Jones. So I’m fine with this stuff, but I see Price struggeling a bit in the future. (That’s why I said he is like overrated now 2 days ago).
but the thing is he played a good game ! letting 2 goals is good, you cant ask price to make shout outs every night , but the whole team has to play its role. but what about budaj , u really trusting that goalie? not a bad one but… very shaky guy and not even near quick.. I dont believe that the kings are that great offensively but… they had a good night, but against a top goalie like jones they were almost shut out. Its going to be tight. I just believe the EV+ is on one of the best teams this year
Looking at the first period SJ vs Montreal, I felt confirmed with my intuition. But after this he did again a good job in the 2nd and 3rd, but at all they lost like expected. I would never say it is Price’s fault. But the Sharks were to healthy in their offense play.
I don’t trust Budaj, no! 🙂 His stats should go down a bit. Could be that Montreal will do a highscore win, because of him. Will be fun watching the game! 😉
WTF ALANSON??? Price was a beast against Shark? Would you please atleast watch the highlightreels before commenting on his goaltending?
What about Jones?
Sorry I’m not on this hype train. I compare whole teams. Don’t make me laugh please with your WTF. 😀
What a 2nd period 🙂
this montreal game wtf
Yeah, all looked good after the 1st period, did not see a 6 goal 2nd coming. At least they waited until the second so I hit my U1.5 1P! Hope the Habs take in OT/SO!
They won, but Price didn’t look too strong in goal for once
Agreed, def off his game. Habs really look different on the road. Still good enough to go 2-1 for a little profit to start the day.
Good analyse about Price ? Both team capable to score goals and already 8 goals ☺ I hope you wont be down by trusting me ☺
No worries, mate! I have a lot units to waste. 😉 But let’s hope for the best. 🙂
I am happy that you did not waste your money with my pick 🙂
It was my own decision inspired by your pick. I told you I prefer if we could agree on one bet. That makes me also feel better!
🙂 I didnt mean it belongs to me. On my side you took my pick 😉 🙂
Canadiens ML @ 2.00
The under is like 50/50 for me. I am expecting a dominante play by the Habs!
That’s all for now.
GL to everyone!
Habs have really tough time scoring goals lately.
If you saying that then I am even more sure that Habs are going to win tonight and probably with high score
Didnt say that they are not gonna win but highscore win!?
Already +6,5
Si iZ slovenije?
ja
Me too. Kak ti gre nhl stave? Nam bolj slabo.
It will not last forever. Enjoy the game.
True
What u guys think about Minnesota Wild at Edmonton Oilers
Oilers win – good signs in their last two games, great win last night and I think they will carry the momentum to tonight. Wild are good defensive but Oilers have a lot to offer. @ 2.70 I have the Oilers as my pick
I think we have some TOUGH games! Great odds for the away teams – But don’t know really which I will pick…
“Some profit”, yeah! 🙂
anyone got opinions on Tampa vs Canes?
useful information . Johnny Hockey is back on the lineup for the Flames tonight
I’M BACK!
#GOFLAMESGO 😛
2016-12-04
First off, a really rough night sadly enough, and secondly im scrapping the 160kr idea as it did not work out as intended, it made me think of to much and therefor make worse quality pick and we want Quality over Quantity right? 🙂
Lion project 1/15 (NHL)
Pick: Chicago Blackhawks ML (1.64)
Progress: 10kr>16.45kr?
Moving on to NBA, just a really bad night as mentioned earlier, luckily i cashed out the NBA last night so we still made a profit, so both restarting at 1 cause of the losses!
Lion project 1/15 (NBA)
PICK: DET Pistons -7 (1.90)
Progress 10kr>19.09kr?
SPREADSHEET (15 bet challenges, and 160kr challenge) = http://www.betdog.eu/profile/Lawellys_Predictions
Live bet. Lightning win %200 all earned units.
If we will go trough then all earned units will be on Oilers and Ducks wins.
Good luck boys
New Prediction: All games will go to OT/SO.