Written by Scott on Sunday, February 11th, 2018
1-0 last night. We went 2-0 with the unit bets.
The Sens vs Leafs game easily went over when the Leafs won 6-3. Marner scored twice and had 3 assists.
We had the Lightning to win in regulation and they did when they beat the Kings 4-3.
Sorry for the delay in these. My son was up all night getting sick and I slept in today.
The first game starts at 12:00pm so will keep these short.
Red Wings vs Capitals Betting Tips:
The Red Wings have lost 3 in a row and are 3-5-2 over their last 10.
The Caps have won 2 in a row.
Over the last 6 meetings of these teams the Caps have won 5 with their loss being in a Shootout.
With the way these teams have been playing I like the Caps chances.
Capitals in regulation
Canada: 1.90 Odds at Bet365
USA: -110 Odds at Bovada
Everyone Else: 1.90 Odds at Bet365
(Odds correct as of 2018/02/11 11:19:36 AM EST but are subject to change.)
Flames vs Islanders Betting Tips:
The Isles are coming off of a huge victory in their last game. The scored 4 times on a 5 minute powerplay late in the 3rd and came back to win against the Red Wings 7-6 in OT.
Smith has allowed 18 goals in the 5 games since the all-star game.
With the way the Isles score and the way the Flames have been leaking goals this game seems like it will be a high scoring one.
Over 6 incl OT/SO
Canada: 1.83 Odds at Bet365
USA: -120 Odds at Bovada
Everyone Else: 1.83 Odds at Bet365
(Odds correct as of 2018/02/11 11:19:36 AM EST but are subject to change.)
Unit/Confidence Betting Tips:
Caps in regulation – 1u
Flames vs Isles – Over 6 – 1u
(We are experimenting with adding unit/confidence to our betting tips. For more details see this post.)
OHL / WHL / AHL / KHL Betting Tips:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. )
OHL Betting Tips (27-13, +11.22u): Mississauga Steelheads inco OT/SO 0.5u at 1.81. 0.5u on Sault Ste Marie in reg at 2.05. Sarnia Sting -2 at 1.68.
WHL Betting Tips (23-18, +2.83u):
AHL Betting Tips (26-19, +5.91u): Marlies in regulation at 1.80. 0.5u on Manitoba Moose in reg at 1.65.
OHL, WHL & AHL & KHL Betting:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
Bovada
GT Bets
Blues-Penguins over 6 in regulation with 5u;
Rangers, Bruins, Avalanche and Islanders with 1u;
Stastny, Janmark, Brock Nelson and Silfverberg with0.5u.
Damn. Islanders …
I play combo 6 with ranger ,bruins and o , avalanche and over and Islanders …
Going to parlay the following for fun:
Capitals, Jets, Knights, Stars, Toronto Marlies, Swift Current Broncos, Manitoba Moose, Medicine Hat, Sarnia and Mississauga Steelheads. Fingers crossed. Hope it hits.
Me too:) Good luck!
I hope you win. Lol
A. Steen to score
From the early games, going for all home teams:
Blues reg-0,5u
Caps reg-2u
Jets reg-1,5u
Stars reg-2u
I believe 3/4 are going to work, I just dont which ones…
Like the Stars chances. Van 2.56GF(29th) 3.22 GA (26th) Tanev(11pts)&Boeser(51pts) dtod (Tsn)
Stars 3.05GF 2.55GA(5th)
Goalies not confirmed but
Bishop 2.43GA/ Markstrom 2.78GA
Pitts bounce back, I’ll throw a live wager up.
Pitts will score 3 I’m almost certain.
13 shots 2p….. I guess they went out partying with their Dads.
Jets – Rangers under 5.5
Caps reg
To WIN: Winnipeg and Dallas
What bothers me is that I chose Boston to win yesterday and didn’t see the trap first. MOTIVATION level is the great final mystery to solve in sports, after you’ve found the stats, trends, injury list, lineup changes, home/away situations and other “facts”. NHL players are generally spoiled rotten, undisciplined party animals in their mid-20’s, with a very short attention span. Yesterday, Boston was playing the first game of a back-to-back, followed up by today’s game against New Jersey. Boston players would be possibly focused on NJ as a legitimate threat and Conference rival, and consider Buffalo such a non-threat they couldn’t get up for the game. This situation keeps popping up in sports and deadbeat teams win over the top 10% when the top ten% are at home. This can’t usually be found in stats, but the reasons supporting these results are just as solid as the reason why Buffalo won’t win the Stanley Cup this year. Betters have to consider the whole picture, and I swear that motivation level on a given day is 50% of the pie determining the result. Yesterday I didn’t see the trap, I was fooled by the stats. I think it was possible to see the strong clue that a Boston motivation problem was highly likely.
Hi Western,
Sorry you lost your bet. You’re right, motivation is key and can’t be measured by the stats. Of course the stats, goalies, injuries, schedules, factor in when trying to predict the winner. Sabres were physical (33 hits) and took advantage of 18 giveaways. Bruins had 27SOG but the Sabres blocked 20. They were disciplined too with 2PIM. Think the Bruins have the edge in the crease today. Devils gave up 50SOG to the Jackets! Unless they tighten up and support their goalie (not confirmed) they could lose this one. Anytime you lose a bet it sucks. Harder to swallow when your pick is a heavy favourite. Anything can happen and there’s no guarantees. Keeping that in mind, (hard to hear) but the onus is on the bettor to decide the pick, line and amount. We’re angry at the team for losing our bet but aren’t we just angry at ourselves for losing our objectively and getting caught up in the prospect of making lots of money? Take it easy:)
golden kings in regulation
your view
What team is this?:))
Like the Knights in reg too. Flyers played hard last night; 43 SOG, 7 rdns in a SO, took 30 hits; add travel to the mix and fatigue could be a factor vs the Knights; Great home record 19-3-2!
??
Is he talking about the Military Parachuting team? I’m confused lol
Allen and Murray have been the most inconsistent goalies in the league all year. They better not pick today to play like all-stars. This first p is staying under 2
Love the board today with great teams on great spots ..
Stars @ home
Caps @ home
VGK @ home
Boston TT is a gift with Eddie Lack for the Devils on a b2b..
Hope every have a great Puck Sunday is ? here in NYC great day for a few ? and ?
I will be taking Stars , Caps and VGK in regulation and Boston TT O3.5
Has Lack been confirmed?
With 4.09GA and Kinkaid taking 50SOG (must be tired) last night, Bruins definitely have the edge.
Like the bs tto
My parlay today:
To WIN: Dallas, Winnipeg, Vegas and in NBA, Houston
The matchups and situations look very good there. Anything I’m missing that warns against?
Don’t know much about NBA but those NHL picks look good ?
I knew this would happen! Houston was a winner! LOL No kidding.
RaRange win Reg
Jets bouncing back from last game where they look bad tells me otherwise ,Rangers atrocious on the road I just can’t see them taking this one but what do I know ?
Buddy of mine put up a g$ lol
2400- if that one doesn’t hit.
After last night Buff win, you’d think it would open eyes on some. ANYTHING can happen.
I’m a firm believer in Jets but I’ve been wrong before.
Everyone underestimates the Sabres and the Coyotes. They’re two teams that are better than their results often show. Last night was a game I took on the over instead of a side. Bruins weren’t worth the chalk. I expected they might not take the game very seriously (as the wild did against the Yotes).
Say that before the game and not after, thats easy!? everybody can do it that way.
I lost because i did take a side, like tonight and again going wrong!
Ok well I said it before Sabres played Bolts and San Jose Coyotes. So there you go 😉
Teams out of contention don’t have any pressure on them to perform and that shows in their play and as result you have an upset.
Jets are not bad home team and they proably going to win, lets see 🙂
$$$$
Man, much respect ! Back to back huge dog wins.
gj man, my bet was jets over 5.5 and i lost it.. dun know why those mofos cant score in second period.
Got to be quick today. Didn’t post yesterday, as I didn’t play anything. However, I gave some picks out to a few people and somehow went 13-1 on nba and nhl. That’s not to boast, but more to illustrate how damn weird and frustrating betting can be. Recently I’ve struggled to get half decent picks, then on a day I play nothing I do that. Weird.
Anyway this is what I like today (with indicated suggested stakes)
– Raptors -2.5 (too late to jump on it I think for anyone seeing this) large
– Detroit -3.5 large
– Blues ML small
– Caps Reg medium
– Flames ML medium
– Jets Reg medium
– Pacers-8.5 medium to large
– Dallas +15.5 small
– Maybe OKC-7 (check back later)
– Colorado Buffalos-3.5 (ncaab) medium to large
– Dallas Reg
– Bruins Reg. Large
– Vegas Reg . Medium
-Jets TTO 3.5 medium
– Jets v rangers over 5.5 medium
w. Detroit -3.5 you mean Detroit Pistons right?
Yes lol definitely not the red wings. Sorry I wrote this super quick.
ugh Red Wings 4-1 up, Pistons strugglin as well..
Pitts team total ov 3.5 -106 live
5mins left
Winni 1p PL +115
Hate these one pp for other team and it’s loss, Winni needs a huge 1st period after laying an egg last game.
Like some late games Knights and the over and looking San and Aniee over
Best of luck to all today. Snowboarding time for this guy??
My picks Vegas in reg
Flames over 6
and i’m betting 250 euros . Good ticket i think ?
Ouchh
i guess it hurts.. i already lost 250 euro in nhl tho.
Ahahahahahaha Washington! Shit team.
Well, that’s hockey.
nashville is the worst.. i lost 3 bets on those mofos.
Why do the capitals always do this shit? They never take care of the scrub teams at home. When was the last time they had a dominant home win at home against a team below .500?
caps can go fuck them selfs so can stars
Apparently, Caps and Stars decided to not play today, unlucky…
LVGK will be my tip tonight.
Sabres win Reg
Devils vs Bruins OT
Knights vs Flyers over 5.5
All single bets
Wow what Jets and Stars did, for the Dallas i had -1.5 win bet, but i respect the Canucks performance and fans, it looked great and we all know that the Vancouver team can beat anyone, anywhere and anytime. Like that team.
Oklahoma City Thunder win, 2 units is another bet.
Sabres win, Bruins win, Islanders over, Ducks win in a match.
Vegas vs Flyers is an interesting match, taking over 5.5, 2 units
Also taking over 5.5 in a Ducks match, 1 unit.
PS. there would be 2 draws, or more in the next matches, but never know which and the odds are around 4, I took some small bets but i won’t post them – it’s a pure lottery.
GLTA(
Glta.
Col Buff huge value on under 5.5
Little juicy for my liking -130
So I’ll play the 1p under 1.5 -120
If a team scores and I can get some decent value on under 5.5 I’ll live wager.
Big guns out and call me crazy but I like the tender match up.
Hi Mate, was it Buffalo first period under 1.5 ?
Ya, let’s give it a go.
Yep, why not, took at 1.78 under 1.5 first period, one unit.
Those period bets have a great value normally.
There are a couple lock games late so if this doesn’t hit. I’m done till Vegas game.
O U are a coin flip at 5.5 as the empty netter can kill it but I’m feeling a sloppy game and I do like the goalies.
For the match bet i would take under 6, at regulation, damn lottery, but the fun and the match is worth it. I like betting, small bet on under 6.
I think Sabres will surprise us and win or fight like sabres for a win.
1 shot in lol
))) still win as need another one to loose
Ok, 1-1 but it was fun )
I’m all in on the u 6.5 I’ll break even and live wager for profit
Hit 6.5 under -120
Anyone live wager ??? If not I won’t bother posting, I do really well watching as I can get a good feel on the tempo of the game.
Live wager Under 6.5 buff colo -120
Live bets are great, following the matches but probably will fall asleep soon ))) Europe
Honesty, if you can watch live it’s best! I’ll play that under 6.5 as I’m sure the 1p will lose. I’ll watch the game and live wager total goals to make sure the Under 6.5 hits.
Yep, never know how it ends ))) 1.5 under is yet alive )
From live, couple of minutes i like Devils and the Flames efforts, both games are 0-0 atm and just started.
ok, 1-0 from Islanders, strong team.
Avs are nice, but i thinks the Sabres will return.
Under 6.5 in big trouble.
I’ll focus in on another game take my losses here. Sucks even on day now.
2 short handed goals in 1p Really!??
Without Eichel Buff is in big disadvantage.
Shoulda left this one dam
Buff ties it up at 2 I’ll live wager Avs
I like em to win.
Take Colo live wager to score 6 goals total
Get it even money do right away
Empty net coming 3 mins left their up by 2
Calgary live wager to win as well 7 mins left all OVER islzz
Wait ilszzz pp
Still 5mins to play it
9 games today
6 dogs barking very loud! That was a Sunday, like no other. Bookies are eating better than, ham sandwiches this week.
Bastards !!
Damn Islanders!
Yeap , if they win and o , i would net 6 u , with just 0.1 u
Women’s Olympic Hockey
Money to be made here if you do some homework. 2 power house teams Canada and States, all others are lucky to get 10 shots in the game total.
Easy money on over under and team totals. gl
Going for Swiss women regulation win, 1 unit, just for the interest. Japan w is also strong.
Money is in total goals in game and goal spreads
Top teams have no problems running scores up on weaker teams as goals for and against count for placement in round robin.
Lots of blow out scores.
Good night
Pittsburgh win Reg
Rangers win Reg
Flyers win Reg