avatar Written by Scott on Monday, January 22nd, 2018

We had 2 tips yesterday and we went 1-1

I liked over in the Flyers vs Capitals game and this didn’t come through for me when the Flyers won 2-1 in OT.  Graeme didn’t like this tip and I should have listened.  But I still have faith in the Caps offense and with the way the Flyers have been playing I liked the over.

We had the Jets to win in regulation against the Canucks and this was a close as it gets.  The Jets won 1-0.  They scored half way through the 1st period and that was all of the scoring for this game.

6 games for us today.  We could only come up with one tip.  We have two unit bets though.

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Senators vs Wild Betting Tips:

The Sens are coming into this game on a 2 game losing skid.  They are 4-5-1 over their last 10 games.

The Wild have been a great home team.  They have picked up points in 16 of their last 17 games when at home.  They are riding a 6 game point streak in Minnesota.

They last played in December and it was the Wild winning 6-4.  With their success at home I have to back the Wild in this game.

Wild in regulation 

Canada: 1.88 Odds at 888 Sports
USA: -125 Odds at Bovada
Everyone Else: 1.88 Odds at 888 Sports

(Odds correct as of 2018/01/22 10:31:56 AM EST but are subject to change.)

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Unit/Confidence Betting Tips:

Wild in regulation – 1u

Avalanche vs Leafs – Avalanche Win .5u
With the Avs on a 9 game win streak we have to at least put a half unit on them.  And for the odds it really is a no brainer

(We are experimenting with adding unit/confidence to our betting tips.  For more details see this post.)

 

OHL / WHL / AHL / KHL Betting Tips:

(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. )

KHL Betting Tips (20-14, +2.96u): 0.5u on Sibir -1.5.
 

OHL, WHL & AHL & KHL Betting:

Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.




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BetNHL.ca » Tonights Tips » January 22nd, 2018 NHL Betting Tips
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Inayat

New to this forum. I am liking the Lightning -1.5, Wild -1.5, Flames -1.5, Islanders ML tonight. Would appreciate your inputs.

Calle Medin

Also likes Wild and Flames tonight.

SanDiegoBruins

parlay with Wild, Flames & Avs all ML pays 4.2:1 on my site

Syd

Hi Inayat,
It’s your choice and If you really like the Wild and Flames at -1.5 go for it. Personally if I bet on them, I would pick them in Regulation ( Moneyline) instead. The probability of winning is higher and you’re covered in case the game goes to Overtime. As far as the Lightening at -1.5, It’s really risky if they play their backup goalie Domingue. This game is hard to call. At least wait until TB announces their starting goalie. Personally, I would stay away from this one. Good luck!

Inayat

Hey Syd. Thank you for your input. I think you make valid points here. I was just thinking that Tampa May come out strong and with intensity since the coach said the team doesn’t know how to play hockey anymore. You are right though. I will wait until the goalies are confirmed. Thanks again for your input

Syd

You’re very welcome:)
Just like to add that before you decide on -1.5 for TB, it’s a good idea to factor in that both teams are on losing streaks right now. TB with 3 and Hawks with 2 losses and they’re record in their last 10 gms, TB 4-5-1 and Hawks 5-4-1 suggests this could be a tight game and winning by a 2 goal margin will be difficult.

SanDiegoBruins

Hockey is very difficult to predict and 2 goal margins even more difficult to predict. Money line or regulation bets are much less risky.

Inayat

Thank you for your input. I am probably going to put a very small wager (like $20 or something) just for fun. After all, it is gambling so you never know. Lol. I agree with what you have said though.

SanDiegoBruins

If you want a PL bet tonight the Islanders score a lot of goals and are playing a relatively weak team in the Coyotes. Just my 2 cents

Inayat

I just don’t like the islanders on the road. Especially since I think their goalies are very weak

SanDiegoBruins

I can’t argue with that. However, Halak, who is in net for Isles tonight, just beat Blackhawks and has won three of his last five starts. He’s going up against Raanta who is 2-7-3

Graeme (BetNHL.ca)

Are you looking at the empty net stats at all? When betting the puck line it’s good to look those up and check to see if you’re in your favour as they can be a big factor in the profitability of puck line bets.

Personally I rarely bet the -1.5 anymore and instead just double down on the in regulation bet if I’m that confident in a team.

Inayat

I haven’t really looked at the stats to be honest. Just my gut feeling with no insight. Lol

Graeme (BetNHL.ca)

Nothing wrong with going with the gut, but it’s best to have some stats to back up the pick. If you’re betting on the gut you’re generally betting based on emotion and then if you lose that can cause you to make erratic bets based on emotion.

Even do up a pros/con list for each pick as it can be interesting when you look at it all and it can help convince you on a pick or put you off. Always having some data to help back up your picks one way or another is good to have.

Inayat

Understood. Thank you very much for the input. I really appreciate it. Just wondering if you could kindly provide me with some good sites I can look at to research the games. Once again, thank you

Syd

Graeme gave you some good advice. To get info for statistics & previews, they’re available on lots of sports sites but you can start with these: NHL, espn, TSN and oddsshark.

Johnny Hockey

“Over 5.5-System” works great – have a look at the stats -> https://f1bets.blogabet dot com/ – tonight: Leafs/Avs, Hawks/Bolts, Yotes/Isles

> Pretty tough to find bets with good value. I’ll throw a unit on the Avs – this is a must try! Maybe Tampa over 2.5 team goals & a double with Wild ML/Flames ML

Bob Rodgerson

Do you still like the overs at 6.0 and 6.5??

Johnny Hockey

Personally I never bet on a 6.5 line! 6.0 ok but 6.5? No way.

SanDiegoBruins

agreed

Bulletproof

6.5 plays for the under work great if your bookie offers total goals in game. You can protect your wager with a 7 8 total.

I’ll throw up a few when I feel I won’t look stupid doing it.

jmskippy

I like your project JH
I am in the UK and I don’t see bookmakers offering over 6.0
Where can u find that set of odds?

Johnny Hockey

For example Bet365 offers more lines – also 4.5, 6.5 and so on. I always play the 5.5 line

jmskippy

I might have misunderstood, but I remember a few days ago you mentioned that when bookmakers over Over 6.0 then you go for the Under 5.5. Is that right?

Johnny Hockey

That’s right @jm@jmskippy:disqus

Chad

Hey Johnny just curious have you investigated historical data? 8/11 is good yes but a very very small snapshot of outcomes.

Johnny Hockey

I haven’t. I just bet for myself in the past. It went good so I’ll post the picks on blogabet for the rest of the season.

SanDiegoBruins

You’re not adding Sens-Wild 5.5? Two back-up goalies

Johnny Hockey

I think I’ll going for this doublee maybe: Wild over 2.5 team goals & Flames over 2.5 team goals. I can geht this combo @2.310

BensonD

Flames Regulation win @ – 125 odds. I’ll take that as my main bet.

&

Parlay Islanders/lightning (regulation wins)

Edis Hadzic

leafs over 5,5 wild ML flames ML bolts ML

Juri Safoshin

Wild And Flames regulation.

magus1349

Colorado, Chicago and Buffalo with 1u;
Landeskog, Hartman, Barzal and O’Reilly with 0.5u.

Elfradets

Well Colorado Avalanche won 10 straight games, Bernier starts tonight and he’s 8-0-0 last 8 with 1.38 GAA

ODDS are 3.20 for colorado REG. Why not give a shot

Oliver Trigg

Nope. 10 will be tonight.

Elfradets

320$ in the pocket 😛

Chad

Cant agree more with Scott and Greame tonight. Will play NYI in regulation or live bet 1 unit or 0.5 depending on outcome of earlier plays.

SanDiegoBruins

Happy Monday! It was a great weekend as my Patriots are returning to the Superbowl after a nail-biter win. The betting worked out last week as well.

I have a couple of plays I really like today: Avs and Isles. Along with the Bruins the Avs are the hottest team in the league and I just can’t see why they are such huge underdogs against the Maple Leafs who are missing two of their top D-men. The Avs have been on fire and are going for their 10th straight win which will provide some great motivation while the Leafs have been spinning in circles lately. Bernier has been great and McKinnon is one of the league’s best players at the moment. Great value, take Avs any way you want to.

Isles are a little more risky because they are streaky but they are coming off a significant win against the Blackhawks and seem to be playing with more focus. I like them to carry this momentum to Phoenix and get a win inc OT or a regulation win. Yotes can be pesky and might take this to OT but I’m pretty sure Isles end up with a W here.

GLTA SDB

Bob Rodgerson

SDB, I still trying to find the best way to cash in on games, does it make sense to play the favorite teams as single bets and then parlay them up with other games

SanDiegoBruins

Bob – thank you for your question. You are not alone, we are all looking for the best way to cash in on games! Even the most experienced hockey bettors struggle for success and consistency. I think the NHL must be the most difficult sport to bet because there is so much parity between teams. For example, the other night the Coyotes thumped the St. Louis Blues who should be one of the best teams in the league. But on any night, any team can win. Most of us try to identify the teams that are trending up or down and to play them based on their recent record and considering goaltender, injuries, motivation (playoff, revenge), road vs home record and other key factors. I generally try to find the teams that I think have the best chance of winning and will either look for ML or regulation odds that are favorable. Sometimes I play over/under. I rarely play PL. If I have a high level of confidence I’ll combine two bets (rarely 3 or more–too risky) for a parlay. I rarely play prop bets like individual scorers or SOG. Most of the time I either bet on favorites or against (fade) teams that are slumping. I usually don’t chase underdogs. However, there are a couple of guys here–Lion and Magus–who do well with betting on underdogs. I just don’t feel comfortable with that approach. There are no hard and fast rules, but those are some of the things I keep in mind. Some of the members of the forum–Oliver, Arto and a few others–regularly share their thoughts on games and their betting strategies. I trust their insights and you can learn a lot from reading their posts. Of course, Scott and Graeme are very good at handicapping and offer some excellent guides on sports betting. GL SDB

Bob Rodgerson

Much appreciated, I was always better at sprints that long distances, time to start training for the marathon:)

Syd

Hi Bob, Treating hockey betting as a marathon and not a race is definitely the right strategy:)

Bob Rodgerson

Sometimes it’s hard to pace yourself. I appreciate your comments.

Western RattlersD

There are many strategies betters use, and I like to keep the # of games on one ticket to an absolute minimum. I will splurge on a 3, 4 or 5 game parley if I’m very sure of the outcome of at least half the games and have strong indication the others will go the way I want. If you watch the odds carefully, sometimes it may make sense to risk a parley, or more games on it, if the chance of an upset and a great payoff, is quite possible. I’ve seen enough odds set at exactly the current day’s home/away stats, that it makes sense to do deeper research and spot those opportunities, as the odds makers are often not including up to the minute data on injuries or some other factors, as hard as they try, and has much as the “line” can move because of better action. Some betters rely on hunting opportunities for bigger payouts on upset results. I think it pays off in the long run to follow at least two sports (such as NHL and NBA) for deep research, to find that deeper-level info and get the edge. I like to do that myself, as much as see what pro cappers say. Pro handicappers disagree all the time, and I swear that a lot of them are superficial researchers, not worth a dime’s support. I bet a parley today including multiple sports, four games, and three of them are low odds because the results are almost “a lock”. Hey, it’s better than the stock market when you can have a run at this every day of the year!

Bob Rodgerson

I appreciate your comments, I wish that I was more knowledgeable about basketball, I find hockey more manageable. I just need to pace myself and make smarter bets.

Johnny Hockey

Do you like tampa? Do you think their defense and glass can handle the bolts offensive?

Oliver Trigg

Knights and Jets cashed me in pretty well yesterday, whilst ducks failed miserably but I didn’t place anything substantial on them. On to today.

POTD- Colorado Avalanche ML/Reg (75%/70%) – I can’t believe the odds we are getting here. Avalanche is at a price of a very heavy underdog. They’ve just won 9 straight?! I’ll take it! Leafs have hardly been that impressive winning just 3 of their last 10. They’re cold and struggling to get anything going. For gods sakes, they almost lost to the Senators! Colorado has won 5 of the last 7 meetings in Toronto and right now are the hottest team in the league form wise. Bernier has been a wall allowing 2 goals or less in 8 of Colorado’s 9 game winning streak. The Rantanen MacKinnon Landeskog line has been as effect as ever. Avs are wanting to hold their playoff spot and have plenty of motivation to get win number 10.

I also like
Wild Reg and Flames Reg. I will add reasons later if I can.

GL!

Johnny Hockey

Stalock vs Condon – Better go for goals here? Or do you still trust Minnesota with Stalock?

Syd

Hi Johnny,
Condon and Stalock haven’t played since Jan 9th but Stalock GA is 2.71 vs Condon at 3.48 GA. Wild is 16-4-4 at home vs Sens at 6-10-4 on the road. Wild’s GF is 2.89 vs Sen’s GA at 3.45. These stats suggest the Wild could win in Reg with TTG o2.5.
Good luck!

SanDiegoBruins

I have the posted TT for Wild as 3.5 now and yet the O/U is still 5.5. I’ll take the over and Wild PL (ML is -210 and reg is -140)

Iceman

Today is going to be that day where Stalock or Condon stand on their heads you’ll see

SanDiegoBruins

hahaha i’m sure you’re right

Oliver Trigg

Stalock is a very good backup.

Matthew

I got some juicy profit withcomment image Avs -1.5

Oliver Trigg

Sweet man!

lion

Tonight tips,

Sabres win ML
Leafs win ML
Sens win ML
Hawks win ML
Islanders win ML

Good luck!

Goodzy

Similar plays, though I went Yotes over Islanders… surprised you are not on them with your style of playing.

lion

It does not have to be so that I am right on that pick. Maybe you are the one who has better idea on that. Game is totally equal for both side. It is gonna be tough one but isles got me with their win against hawks.

Good luck!

Oliver Trigg

I swear to god I will never understand your picks. Please if you could explain some of them to me sometime…. WHY WOULD YOU CHOOSE SABRES OR SENS ? And I thought you liked dogs? I jumped all over Avs and yet you go for the favourite in that one. Do you just pick the opposite of everything I do ?

lion

I have picked Sabres because of the bad home games performances by Calgary. They are kinda under stress because of home phobia. On the other hand more relax and nothing to lose Sabres. They are very good against stessed teams. Check the history. Btw if game was not in Calgary then my comments on that game would be different.

Sens, It was because of the odds. Their odds on that game was 2.90 and they won %56 of these games with such odds. Check the statistic 😉 Wild’s was with 1.43 odds and they won 55% of these games. It was tough one and I did my decision on Sens.

Blackhawks, they mostly lose the games when I pick them. I should better not bet on them at all. Same goes for Toronto.

Anyway mate, I just woke up and time is 7.43 right now. Soon I ll be on the way of my job after I take kids to school and Kindergarten. I will try to add my comments if it is not too late and I am on my sleep time 🙂

Have a nice day everyone!

Oliver Trigg

Thanks for the reply Lion. I just wanted to understand your thinking.

Johnny Hockey

Condon (OTT) and Johnson (BUF) are confirmed. Now I’m thininkg about this double: Wild over 2.5 team goals & Flames over 2.5 team goals. Both teams could score 3 goals easily. I can geht this combo @2.310

SanDiegoBruins

can’t get it 😐

InkedFive0

Any thought on bolts and hawks OVER?

Tony Le

Bolts is due to a win with score like 5 – 2 or 5- 1

Tony Le

My parlay tonight
Tor ml + min r + min o + nj ml + tp ml 0.2 unit

Iceman

Does anyone have an idea of what teams could be tanking from here on ?

SanDiegoBruins

Another question might be: Which teams to fade that are still valued by oddsmakers? To me that includes Kings, Blackhawks, Capitals, ‘Canes and Oilers

Robert

Hi guys 2 wins of three lastnight! Happy with that!

Tonight Two overs Chicago game and Arizona game.

Good luck to everyone!

SanDiegoBruins

Vasilevskiy confirmed

magus1349

Like over 6 at Devils/Red Wings.
5units on this.

Western RattlersD

To WIN in reg: Colorado, Wild and Flames
no leans on sides or O/U today
Iffy on the Colorado game. I expect the Avs to win, even if Toronto puts up an effort, which I hope they do early in the first, to make sure Colorado is awake early, assuring the Avs win it. LOL

LESSON LEARNED: this season we see some teams have a multi-game slow recovery from their bye week. Perhaps they need to distance it a little more from the All-Star break which is just days from now! Just when some teams were winding up good runs of great hockey performance, they get hit with the compulsory week off, it ruins momentum and it doesn’t seem to do any of them any good in terms of how they come out of it. Will we see the same thing immediately after the All-Star break?

Lazzo

Does the Islanders line not seem fishy? I know they are on the road but only -125 moneyline seems awfully cheap for a high octane offense.

Iceman

My first thought when I saw the line

Lazzo

Also, I’ve seen this song and dance by the Hawks one too many times. I swear when they are high fav’s like -175 or -200 they lose but tonight’s dogs at home and they will win. It’s crazy but I’ve seen it happen a lot.

Geir Aage R Jensen

Red wings win Reg

Avalanche win ML
Islanders win ML

Good luck everyone!

Dave Goodman

Bolts ML
Avs ML
Isles ML

Pedro Carvalho

Hi new in this blog ! Alot of wins in this month so i think i can help ! Im portuvuese and i follow the nhl so much on 3 and 4 am 😉 So i will just put my predictions heres, so you can guus can choose!

So my predictions are :

Devils (with draw incluiding)
Colorado (with draw incluiding)
Minnesota (reg)
Bolts (with draw incluiding)
Arizona coyotes (with draw incluiding)
Calgary and under 5.5 (with draw incluiding)

Gl everyone!

Oliver Trigg

Bem vindo!

Caesium

Hi everyone,

Avs +0.5 @ 1.93
Red Wings +0.5 @ 1.87
Sens ML @ 2.92

GLTA

Caesium

I am also on Leafs TTU 3.5 @ 1.68 w/ 2 units.

SanDiegoBruins

Bernier has been a wall

Caesium

Yep. And in 8 games this year, with 6 being at home, Leafs just scored more than 3 only one time. Imagine against who? Anderson, the leak.

Lendo

Nothing for me. No bets until my month restarts on 25th.

I have a feeling Arizona will down NYI.

Bulletproof

Tampa cause they need it and thinking Leaferzzz pull off a miricle and actually show up. To be safe I’ll play the under 6

Under 6 -125
Tampa ML -120

Like the yotes to get 3 goals possibly win as well alawys play well against ilzzz

2 plays going with what my gut is feeling.

Bulletproof

Playing safe to start the week. I’ll sprinkle a little on the total goals in Avs Leafs at 7 +420 and walk with a profit on the under 6 play. This has been a cash cow for me all year BUT nothing is a lock so here’s hoping I don’t look stupid.

Iceman

GL but definitely this game is going over

Bulletproof

Any hope for my 7 at +420??

Iceman

Yesssssss hope you hit the +420

Bulletproof

Bahhh just looked, kinda thought this was a 22 OT my luck it’ll finsh 4 2

Bulletproof

And walk with my head down not a profit. Still a great play with crazy odds on total goals in game. If you can get a feel on how game is going after 1st in my opinion it’s a solid play. Deff works better on a 6.5 under.

Oliver Trigg

It’s ok we all lose. But 7 is a line I will never take on principle. Even on islanders games.

Bulletproof

I was banking on the last 7 games for the leafs all decided by 1 goal and 5 of those going to OT. My feel was a tight game everyone was on Colorado and I liked it with the Bernier revenge factor but my gut said 22 OT so u6 I thought I was being pretty smart lol o well.

The 7g play is a live bet just in case it goes 33 OT but as you can see by today it’s never a lock. The odds are always high 3 to mid 400+ if you can wait hit at perfect time.

Iceman

Love your picks and looking forward to see your Tuesday’s picks

Bulletproof

Thx, my picks were no better than the others they just went the way I thought they should. Great site for others opinions, important to not be a follower and to dig into the game deeper than just stats. No one should ever be judged on why they made the wager or their reasons. One bad bounce, hot goalie, bad penalty all kinds of factors contribute to the outcome.

I’m hot right now and I’ll ride it till the hockey gods put me back in place lol

Cheerzzzz

Iceman

Thanks man I love the words you just put together and all my respect in our journey to beat the bookie?

Iceman

Do you post in other websites?

Bulletproof

I’ve been around for a while and throw in my 2 cents here and there on a couple others. I’ve been doing this to long to post every little thing I think I know for a pat on the back lol

Iceman

New York Islanders +140
Calgary Flames -145
Tampa Bay Lightning +120

Couldn’t post earlier but I like these in regulation ?

Any team is better than Zona
Any team is better than Sabres
Tampa is just the best is the best..