Written by Graeme on Friday, March 11th, 2016
The Devils managed to get a big upset last night, beating the Sharks 3-0. It was quite the game to watch with the Sharks peppering the Devils net with 30 shots on target, compared to Devils 16. That goal a minute into the 3rd really hurt the Sharks.
Oilers vs Wild was an interesting one. I had said yesterday the Oilers were probably worth a value bet and I bet them – but it was one of those wins where it didn’t even feel like a win. Wild won a ridiculous amount of faceoffs, had 4 power plays etc. If I had been on the other side, I probably would have thrown something through my TV. McDavid scored a relatively normal goal and all the sports sites are going on about his “incredible highlight reel goal”. Ugh.
Only 5 games tonight but we’ve got a game that I’m sure a lot of fans have been looking forward to. Let’s start with that:
Penguins vs Jackets Betting Tips:
The Crosby vs Dubinsky rivalry will continue here. Crosby was absent the last time these two played. The previous time was when Dubinsky cross-checked Crosby. The Blue Jackets have Bobrovsky back tonight too it looks like.
After the 2-1 loss to the Islanders I just can’t look past the Penguins hoewever. While Jackets are pretty decent at home, the Penguins have been fantastic lately at picking themselves up. The last time they lost two in a row(in regulation time) was back in mid-December when they went on that bad little run.
Penguins to win.
Canada: 1.76 Odds at Bet365.
USA: -135 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.76 Odds at Bet365.
Flyers vs Lightning Betting Tips:
Another interesting game. Flyers stopped the Lightnings incredible run, and since then Lightning lost to Bruins and were shut out.
We often see a hot team on a hot streak lose one and then go on a downfall. However Lightning have an awesome chance to redeem themselves here by beating the team that beat them.
A lot of people are no doubt expecting a big revenge beating from Tampa but I’m not too sure. While Tampa really didn’t show up in that Philly game, the Flyers are playing solid and have had a nice break since that game.
It’s a tricky one because you have two goaltenders who can turn up at a moments notice, but I’m going to go with Over 5 Goals.
Canada: 1.74 Odds at Bet365.
USA: -135 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.74 Odds at Bet365.
Experimental Betting Systems:
OHL Betting Tips:
There is expected to be a few OHL Plays today but no odds posted yet. I will edit them in when posted. I expect around 10am ET
Bet the OHL at:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
(Our 1st period systems are based on 3 levels of confidence that the system has for each pick. Ideally all 3 systems will be winners long runs, with the high confidence system doing the best but with the least amount of picks etc)
1st Period System Medium Confidence: Calgary Flames (2.75), Pittsburgh Penguins (2.85).
1st Period System Low Confidence: Anaheim Ducks (3.25).
Bet 1st Periods at Bet365 or 888 Sports..
Americans: Bet 1st Periods at BetOnline or Bovada.
Bovada
GT Bets
Not to bad of night.
TONIGHT I LIKE
TB
TB-PHI OVER
Like these picks, but don’t have TB on my main slip. PHIL screwed up my bets twice recently :(. Hope they lose 5:3 🙂
Im going with Tb tonight because 1. They are at home
2.Vooracek is out
3. To regain top spot in divison
I do have TB on one of my slips – not sure if in regulation or period – but its a small stake bet. Either way – god luck, hope they win :).
Last night some profit on 3rd period combo but loss on everything else. All in all I broke even plus coffee money :).
Tonight picks:
3rd period:
PIT
CAL
CHI
TB over 5.5
ANA over 4.5
betnhl. I cant seem to find any goalie stats related to long injuries and how they would perform first game or week back. If you have any thoughts let me know thanks.
House on penguins win and 6+
Lightning win
Ducks win
Blackhawks win
100% :]
Also value bet on CBJ-PIT OT, as odds are as high as 4.15 and i thought about it before even checking the odds.
Good luck boys.
Do u like TB-Phi over 5
I could see it being a relatively high scoring game, as both teams have tons of speed and want the win (unlike last time when Tampa didn’t give 2 shits). Depends how the 1st period goes. If neither team manages to use their chances then it could become a gallore of lost opportunities, but if either team takes the lead then the other team has to start chasing meaning they would be trading chances left and right.
I like it. In fact I am playing over 5.5.
I try to pick a mix between Arto’s and lion’s picks. Create the perfect storm, you know? Too bad they’re very often the complete opposite.
ahaha i see Arto is going for Ducks 100% while lion for Blues 100%.. soo boom!! :/ i thought Ducks might win so maybe take it ML.. i feel they will just win by a goal. not sure.. but a lot of ppl backing Hawks so that might be the one.. need one sure one to combine it with Hawks.. lets see what Arto thinks 🙂
Well it’s not really 100% as nothing ever is really (good example the Bruins yesterday). And btw when i say “team x wins” it’s always moneyline.
I just feel like the Ducks will play a darn good game tonight. They want the win more as they have just dropped 2 games in a row, which is often just a matter of time when you’re on a big winning streak. And who do they play ? One of the best teams in the league flying high right now. So im banking on the fact that the Ducks are willing to work their asses off for the full 60 minutes. It will be a tight game for sure, and if the Blues get a good bounce or two that can easily turn the tides, and maybe they’re on their way to be next team get a big winning streak, but the Ducks will compete tonight and if the Blues win then kudos.
But yeah it’s more or less a 50-60 type of game, i wish the Ducks odds were a bit better since they’re the underdogs here, so my pick would have more value in it. But i already convinced myself going for Anaheim so not going to back down.
Tampa is a strong pick i feel like, but again in ML. Maybe use that as a throw-in with the Hawks ?
It’s always tough to play around these combos though. I’d suggest sticking with singles most of the time.
trying again after Boston screwing up last night.. this is the second night in row lose. so lets hope the third is a lucky one.. Not sure about the picks, for me it seems quite difficult ones.. dont know how you are so sure on it? 😀 hehe the only one i feel confidence on is Blackhawks.. so what would u suggest to take with it for a nice double? and hope the third lucky charm when i wake up tomorrow 🙂
i am from europe so dont watch the matches as they are 3-4am here :O i just follow their results and stats etc.
Ducks 0 % to win, unfortunately.
ok , this is getting quite pathetic I think im officially starting to bet againt you from today whatever you propose. Goodluck, lets see who earns more.
I’d take Artos picks everyday of the week and twice on Sunday.
It’s pretty easy to whine about picks when you’re not making your own.
Arto is really doing well sometimes. That one was really unlucky night for him and that’s it.
If you play opposite what arto does then you LL be loser soon.
No one wants to lose, but nobody’s forcing you to do anything. It’s your decision if you bet or not, based on picks you read here. One thing I can tell you for certain: he’s doing whatever he can. He’s not deliberately trying to F you.
Thanks guys, yeah it was an off-night for me as im trying to experiment with a slightly tweaked system and it didn’t work out.
I don’t really care what you bet arturs, but im sticking with the 10k i’ve made over the past 3 seasons.
But i guess it’s kind of nice you’re so attached to me.
Go Finland !
yeah mate, you can’t win always.. i have been having shit day also on row now.. but i dont go whining about it, they give u tips its up to u to follow or not.. I always love his analysis. and I will follow it again next day too even if i lose the day before.
Yikes, 0-3?
yup
Tonight picks,
BlueJackets win %85
Flyers win %65
Blues win %100
Blackhawks win %100
Flames win %80
Good luck everyone!
Lion King
ehehehe thanks dude!
From this day on, I will refer to you as Mufasa (Simba’s a bitch)
That was rude
Why?
I did parlay 100 to win 242 chi and stl. Lets do this lion king
I hope you will win my friend!
.
Boston screwed up my double last night, and lost for the second night in the row :/.. can someone suggest a good sure shot double with around 2+ odds combined?? 🙂
i was thinking of Flyers over.. Blackhawks win??
Its a tough one Flyers O , Bishop have been sharp lately allowed 6 goals in past 5 games only . I see the Lightnings winning this one in regulation 3-1 . Hawks i got ur back ! 🙂
I like Hawks too.
Lets Go,
Lightning W (Regulation)
Hawks W ML
Malkin (Atleast 1 Point)
Good Luck Everyone !
Hi guys. Are you planning to add some bets for OHL today? Thanks
Bodog/Bovada haven’t released handicap or over/under lines so no 🙁
These were the bets wee were looking at:
– Kingston -1.5
– London -1.5
– Frontenacs Over
– Owen Sound to win
All of that was odds dependent. I guess you could bet Owen Sound Attack in regulation for +305 although I’d bet it more if you’re looking for action than anything else.
Thanks for fast answer 🙂
PIT WIN
TB WIN
ANH WIN
CHI WIN
ARI WIN
nah I think Calgary will win over ARI 🙂
I’m starting to turtle after a couple bad beats haha!
Taking TB/Phi – Over
Taking Cal/Arz – Under
Good luck peoples!
What a ridiculous night that was. Again, I might add. It’s almost like as soon as popular opinion sways toward a certain pick, that is doomed to lose. Go figure
I do agree with that what your are saying. But I must say that stars are actually very very good. I think they ll do same in playoffs as well
Blackhawks did us down last night. I think most of us lost with playing hawks.
Lets get something back with playing hurricanes win. They are way better that buffalos and they want to be part of the playoffs. So if they want to be part then must win today.
Hurricanes win %70
I ll go only with that one.
I ll update the picks for the later games in new topic
Im following you to the lion’s den. 1k on Carolina
OK let’s do this Lion King!