Written by Graeme on Friday, November 10th, 2017
Hi guys,
Good to be back writing tips again. For those unaware I was away since Saturday down in the States.
Went to a Guns N’ Roses concert while there but the real highlight was attending my first NFL game – Packers vs Lions.
What an experience that was. And you know it wasn’t the best game ever – quite a weak game overall. The crowd was also deflated with Rodgers being out. Despite all that it was still a ton of fun and I think NFL is probably my favourite sport to experience.
I know we have a lot of non-American readers so if you’re ever visiting the States, I’d recommend planning the trip around an NFL game. So fun.
One website that I want to give a shoutout to was Don’t Tell Me The Score. if you’ve never visited it they show extended highlights of each NHL game from the previous night.
I wasn’t keeping too up to date with the scores while I was down there so it was really great each morning to be able to wake up, and over a couple of coffees just watch each game and really keep up to date on it all.
I really want to tip the Bruins tonight. Just feel that Matthews being gone will hurt the Leafs. Most teams are strong when missing a key player for one game then struggle the next and I think that’ll happen here. But I’ve spent over an hour looking at that one and can’t pull the trigger. Not sure the Bruins have what it takes to stop the high powered offense, and to beat the Leafs at home this season you have to beat them with your own high powered offense. Just not sure the Bruins have what it takes.
I also wanted to tip the Knights but the odds are too poor at around 2.10. Based on Lagace and his results, as well as the Jets and their results – the Jets should be a much bigger favourite in my opinion. In saying that I can’t tip the Jets despite their performances based on the Knights home record.
After pouring over everything tonight there’s only one I like enough to tip:
Capitals vs Penguins Betting Tips:
These two teams played a month ago here and in that one, the Capitals lost 3-2 to the Penguins.
Neither offense or team is exactly lighting it up at the moment. Crosby has went 9 goals without scoring and just as it looked like the Capitals were getting back on track, the Sabres thumped them 3-1.
We do like both teams to raise their game for tonight though. Defensively neither team is doing good at all so that’s a good sign as despite any offensive woes you’re still talking about two teams with excellent offense. Crosby has a decent enough record against the Caps with 61pts (20 goals) in 42 regular season games.
It’s a tight one but with both teams defensive issues and overall performances I think they’ll both be up for it tonight and we can get a good competitive game.
Over 5.5 Goals
Canada: 1.91 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
USA: -115 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.91 Odds at Pinnacle Sports.
For those who follow it, I’ll get back to doing OHL, WHL, AHL and KHL Tips probably by Sunday. I didn’t bother updating my betting systems for those while I was away so have a weeks worth of games and stats to track.
Bovada
GT Bets
+8 units last night by Lightning.
Tonight:
Avalanche, Sabres and VGK with one unit.
Avalanche single with 5.
nice win, Bolts helped me out as well, especially because Habs shit the bed and Blues didn’t take things seriously.
In my case Blackhawks shit the bad.:)))
I don’t bet on them anymore. They are the most under-performing team in the league. I put the Caps in that bucket too.
Caps is one of my favorite. Win or loose, always i intuited correct result.
I’m a bit with you, because I expect Varlamov being great today.
whats about Stars v Isles going over?
I’ll have over 5.5 on my bet tonight. Along with the Blue Jackets win.. Still now sure about Colorado vs Ottawa, might go over there aswell
i’m betting over
Thoughts on the game in sweden tonight guys?
Normally italy is the much better team, my money is on italy! Sweden isnt that good, with luck they managed to get second place
Ottawa vs Colorado..
I see haha oops…
But to stay with hockey i bet on ottawa haha
Definitely didn’t mean the football hahahaha
Yeah i know right now haha….
Borg in sweden tonight?
:))))
Here we talk about a real sport, not one for pussy.
I thought it was strange football question here so i thought i’ll react to that haha.
Some are pussy not all?
lol ))) triggered
Yeah, you can say that again haha
Over
Why sweden? What happened? lol
Early goal scorer M. Rantanen for Avalanche
Good luck everyone!
I like Landeskog.
***Toronto**** to win tonight, and think they should be favoured far more. Boston are plagued with injuries. No Marchand Krejci, David Backes, Adam McQuaid, Ryan Spooner and others. Toronto are the top scoring team in the league, and I’m not sure Boston will be able to outscore them. Not to mention Toronto have won the last 4 meetings.
I also like the Blue Jackets to break their three game skid tonight against Carolina, especially if Bobrovsky is in net. Blue Jackets ML
Marchand may play, but still with Bruins having only won against the Coyotes on the road I’m not sure it will be enough.
They played NYR tight and they’ve been playing with a lot of confidence despite some tough losses. I give them the edge tonight with Marchand back.
Yeah I’ll sit this one out. Seems more of a pick’em at the moment. I’m preferring Dallas at the moment anyway.
Cam Ward in net adds value to CBJ.
Marchand is definite for tonight, he’s Bs top scorer and will inject a lot into their offence
Habs and Blues let me down last night, but the Bolts made up for them so I finished even.
In the early tilt, I like Sens and Avs to put up a big number. Both goalies have 3+ GAA and if you look at the recent records of both teams, they are both scoring a lot and being score against a lot. Average total goals in last 5 games: Sens 8.4 gpg and Avs 8.6 gpg. Pretty persuasive numbers. Add the bigger European ice and there will a lot of space for the forwards to maneuver.
Hard to pick a winner in this game. Several big stories with the game being in Stockholm, Duchene’s first game since being traded is against his former team and Avs are very banged up. Both teams have players who are Swedish including Karlsson. Both teams should be well-rested after 3 days off, but it’s hard to know who comes out on top but if I had to pick I’d go Sens.
Canes-CBJ – no bet
Pens-Caps over – The line moved from 6 to 5.5 this morning but I still like a lot of goals to be scored between these two teams. Both teams have the ability to score, especially the Pens. Both defenses are respectable, especially the Pens, but the goalies have had their issues so far. I think the energy of two teams with some of the NHL’s biggest stars will create a lot of excitement on the ice and in the stands.
Bruins-TML 1st period over – I think the Bruins bounce back from tough loss to NYR with a strong start and TML are one of the highest scoring first period teams. Can’t say who will win today but it’s likely that it will go over. I’m not taking that bet because both teams best scorers are out with injuries, but TML seem to be doing a good job of LWOM (life without Matthews)
Cat-Sabres over – both teams have porous defense while offences have a lot of speed and firepower. Cats have worse GA in the league which is why they are the dog. I have a small bet on Cats regulation. They have to be extremely frustrated with their string of losses so maybe they pull their shit together tonight against a weak team.
Isles-Stars over – Isles have been scoring in bunches and Halak is giving up 3 gpg. Stars have the firepower to easily score 3 goals.
Jets-LVK over first period – I really like the over for the first period. Jets are 2nd in league for 1st period goals and should be well-rested. They are coming off a dominant win in Dallas and will be looking to keep their winning streak going. Blake and Scheifele have been on fire lately and Hellebuyck has been a wall. The Knights were amazing at home before they hit some serious speed bumps on the road. With a little home cooking and some time off at Spearmint Rhino they’ll be ready to regain where they left off when they hit the road. Lots of goals tonight beginning with the first period fireworks. I think Jets win, but the LVK has been dominant in their own barn so no bet there.
GLTA SDB
I’m curious as to the faith in the Bruins, having only beaten the Coyotes on the road so far this season… Is this all down to no Matthews?
SDB see my post above, want to make sure you agree with my play. Really liking it
Sorry, what play
I broke down a couple games near the top of the page. Scroll and you’ll see it
Carolina ML with 1 unit ODD 2.25
Carolina OT with 1 unit ODD 4.00
But my feelings are with the CBJs. 😛
Are these plays just from your program?
Just the ML bets.
You should pick Pens Caps OT instead:D
Without stats:
Winnipeg regular with 1 unit ODD 2.3
Lendo Project 4/10
Ottawa in Regulation.
My feeling they are the stronger team and s more sound outfit.
The addition of Duchene can only improve Ottawa moving forwards.
Sens vs Avs over 6 @ 1.97
I have been waiting for this game and bet for 2 days!
GLTA
-> Pens in regulation
->> Kessel to score
this is always great games between the Pens and the Caps,
the caps are not so good so far, and I think the Pens are able to show the best of them in this game
Nice call with Kessel!
thanks 🙂
FLO-BUF 0
BOS-TOR 2
PEN-CAPS 1
ISL-STARS 1
JETS-VGS 2
What do you think guys about this one?
1
O
2
2
1
What does this even mean?
Stars ML- The Islanders might have the biggest home/road split dichotomy in the league, perhaps due to that sleepy environment in Brooklyn and teams on long road trips looking ahead as they move through there. How many would believe they are 23-4-5 at Barclay’s against Western Conference teams. The fact this game is in Texas is huge and Dallas is in the middle of a home stand after a trip through Western Canada that brought mixed results. Dallas should be motivated and aren’t in a position to be flat after an average at best start to the season. The Islanders lack significant depth and if Dallas is skating I don’t see how they keep up. This should be a spot where Sequin, Benn, and Radulov expose the Islander goaltending and get the powerplay going as well. Take the STARS
Jets Regulation- Vegas has started to come back to reality and their lack of depth down the middle is really starting to show. Having said all of that they are still finding ways to be competitive and remain in games despite being vastly outplayed and having Lagace between the pipes. The Jets meanwhile truly have the most explosive offense in the Western Conference, Blake Wheeler is easily the most underrated player in the league and Laine is starting to heat up as well. The biggest difference for the Jets now compared to years past is Connor Hellebuyck has really stepped up allowing two or fewer in his last six road starts! I don’t see a scenario where the Jets don’t put up at least 4 goals and blow the doors off Lagace. Grab the J-E-T-S to roll the Golden Knights.
I think I’ll be parlaying these two games. Thoughts?
Wow. Why changing without analysing?
I shouldn’t have changed, I got talked into it by someone in a discussion. I trusted Bobrovsky a lot more than Bishop whose looked bad this year for the most part. FUCK
Geir project 2/8
Blue Jackets win!
Good luck everyone!
3/15
*** Toronto***
Jackets win
Buffalo – Florida +5,5