Written by Graeme on Thursday, October 26th, 2017
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Both favourites won last night in convincing fashion. In a sport as volatile as hockey it was quite nice to see that actually.
I’d said yesterday that with their inability thus far to beat the top tier of teams, the Blue Jackets would want to go to town on teams like the Sabres. I was concerned they may be feeling down after their last couple of performances but they bounced back in style.
The Blues dominated the Flames. Like I said yesterday I really wanted to pull the trigger on that one but there was something putting me off. Congrats to those who backed the favourites in what was a nice easy night of hockey.
Busier night tonight let’s get to it:
Coyotes vs Rangers Betting Tips:
You know we’d probably go with the over 6 goals on this one even if the starting goalies were in, but they’re not so that makes it all the sweeter.
Hill is in net for the Coyotes and Pavelec the Rangers. Both are 0-2 on the season with Hill rocking an 0.889 and Pavelc an 0.860.
These are two teams desperate for wins. The Rangers offense hasn’t been clicking but you’d have to think they’ll feel confident in this one. The Coyotes are conceding goals like crazy but have also been able to put the pick into the net every game this season. Hell they even scored goals against the elitest of the elite – the Vegas Golden Knights. That’s impressive.
Have to hope two desperate teams and two poor goalies results in Over 6 Goals incl OT/SO.
Canada: 1.95 Odds at BetOnline..
USA: -110 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.96 Odds at BetOnline..
Leafs vs Hurricanes Betting Tips:
the Canes offense is hot and cold this season and we’re going to hope they’re cold tonigh tas they take on the Leafs. Even if they’re hot though we all know the Leafs ability in games like this and we’ll hope that they can simply score more.
Darling is below 0.900 and is meant to get the start tonight. The Canes are coming off that bad 5-1 loss at home to Tampa. Leafs may be without JVR but they still feel confident enough that their lines have enough depth that it shouldn’t be a concern. It could be a shootout but if so I’d back the Leafs there.
We’ll take Leafs in regulation tonight.
Canada: 2.05 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.95 Odds at Bet365 (Americans: We recommend http://www.bovada.lv.
Lightning vs Red Wings Betting Tips:
This is one of those matchups where it just feels like it happens every single week. And yes I’m aware it happened just 10 days ago but it feels every time I’m doing tips this is one I’m always looking at and talking about.
I’ve always been hesitant about these matchups – these two teams just seem to have close games for the most part. Last time out we tipped Kucherov to score and he did so in a Tampa rout.
Since that game Tampa have went from strength to strength while the Wings have regressed drastically.
If the Wings upset the apple cart tonight so be it, but I’m going with Tampa in Regulation.
Canada: 1.78 Odds at 888 Sports.
USA: -140 Odds at Bovada.
Everyone Else: 1.78 Odds at 888 Sports.
Other Thoughts:
Scott liked the Canucks/Capitals Over 5.5 goals tonight and looking at things, it’s a clear possibility. Decent enough price as well. It came down to that or the Tampa pick and we went with Tampa.
I also liked the Kings tonight but their odds almost seem too good. I spent a lot of time looking at that one and I read enough “Price can win this one on his own” comments – even though having watched every Habs game this season I know that not to be true – to scare me off from tipping it. I do think the Kings are a good price here but like I said it almost seems too good to be true considering both teams performances.
OHL Betting Tips:
(All below systems are based mainly on mathematics and statistics with very little human input and are deemed experimental. )
OHL Betting Tips (7-4, +2.1u): Windsor Spitfires in regulation at 1.80 odds.
OHL Betting:
Canadians: Bodog and 888 Sports.
Americans: Bovada.
Everyone Else: 888 Sports.
Combo in reg. with one unit: Sharks, Ducks and Canucks.
5 units on Sharks in reg.
Have you hit a combo yet this season? GL
Only one.
CAR VS TOR -Under 6
NY VS MIN – Over 5.5
GLTA!
Any argues?
Sharks TT > 2.5
Ducks ML
Flyers ML
Reasoning on Flyers to beat Ottawa?
Sharks, Rangers, Leafs, Kings, Tampa, Ducks.
Combo 1 unit, what do you think?
For sure, I’d remove the Kings, because they’re playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, and 4th in 6 days. Montreal just won a game and will be fired up at the chance of facing an exhausted Kings who they can probably out-skate tonight. LA beat Montreal 5-1 on Oct 18th, but that was on three days rest. Your choice.
All without Kings, is a good bet for 1 unit?
I wouldn’t bet a 6-game parley except with play money and extremely strong liklihood that each game was a certainty. That takes off half the games you’ve mentioned, but if you can honestly convince yourself you have at least a strong lean in each game’s choice of outcome, give it a shot. I won a 7-game Over/Under parley once, about a decade ago, and have had trouble winning even 4-game parleys of any time, since. There are so many variables behind the scenes that affect what happens, such as playing with injuries and what affects daily team and player motivations, that I respect what I don’t know and can’t know. I’d suggest reducing parley’s down to three games and see how that goes. Develop your skill reaching the moon before you reach for Jupiter?
Picks to WIN: Toronto, Tampa and I agree with the OVER for the Rangers.
I’m staying off any bets for the LA because LA is playing their third game in four nights, and fourth game in six nights. That’s going to have them drained and therefore the game becomes unpredictable and Montreal gains opportunities, probably in the second and third period, as they’ll smell blood. I’m leaning on Pittsburgh winning, and Winnipeg with 5 days off will just be all the more Winnipeg. Pittsburgh will be reasonably well rested.
I’m looking for more Over/Unders and may update this later if I find anything. Best of luck everyone!
ML
Capitals
Kings
Panthers
Parlay
Leafs
Lightning
These are purely based on my analytics that are hitting 72% currently. Concerned about the Kings road swing, but Montreal has been bad and will keep riding that out.
Hey Kevin.. When you made the picks, are those in regulation or including OT/SO ? Thanks
I generally have my picks done by 11. Some days earlier some days later depending on when all of the odds are posted on my sports book. I run my numbers then look for value on odds.
Also all my picks include overtime and shootout unless specified.
Tampa RT 95%
Leafs RT 95%
Ducks OT 80%
To win tonight :
Tampa bay
Washington
Pittsburgh
Toronto
L-A
Floride
Good luck!!!
“Floride”. Nice one! I may use that sometime. Cheers!
Where is Lion :´(
Who cares? He’s mostly wrong.
can u tell me here a good tipster xD?
I think he actually has a good % of correct ones. But we never know..
Leafs, Tampa, Pitts
Tonight picks,
Sharks win %100
Red wings %75
Caps win %95
Good luck everyone!
Detroit choice only because of the odds?
No, not only because of that.
Hi Lion.. I’m following your picks for a few days.. What is the Lion Project? Can you explain?
Also, the picks you make are in regulation or including OT/SO? Thanks for helping
I keep my favourite game for lion project. Lion Project is that you choose one game and put your money on that. If you win then you put all income to next favourite game. It goes like that until 15. For ex. If you start with 2 euro and odd is 2 and you win then u put all these 4 euro or dollar to other game. BTW i do bet only on OT/SO
Lion Project 3/15
Habs ML
Geir project 4/15
Capitals win %60
Good luck everyone!
Tampa win
Pens win
Rangers win
Tyba project 1/15
*** Toronto ***
Good luck